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Week 12 • November 16, 2025, 12:00 AM UTC
Utah State @ UNLV
5-4
MW
Power Rank: -4.6
26 FINAL 29
7-2
MW
Power Rank: -3.2
Utah State covered by 2.5 | Game went Under by 15.5
Utah State @ UNLV Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 04:00 PM PST
Stadium: Allegiant Stadium
Capacity: 65,000
Elevation: 2192 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread UNLV -5.5
Total (O/U) 70.5
Expected Score USU 32.5 - 38.0 UNLV
Power Rank Implied Line UNLV +1.4
Prediction Markets UNLV 68% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

52.5°F

Wind Chill: 52.7°F
Wind: 1.6 mph SSE
Gusts: 3.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 33%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Utah State (Away)

This Week: 430.6 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 12633.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 17:00
Rest Days: 7

UNLV (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1257.9 miles
Season Total: 9372.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:00
Rest Days: 8

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line UNLV -5.5
Total Points 70.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Utah State -4.6
UNLV -3.2
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 431 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest UNLV +1
🏟️ HFA: Allegiant Stadium
Capacity 65,000
Elevation 2192 ft
🌤️ Weather: Clear
Temperature 52.5°F
Wind Speed 1.6 mph
Your Line UNLV +1.4
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

UNLV

Colandrea's Strong Debut

Virginia transfer Anthony Colandrea had an impressive first start, completing 19 of 23 passes for 249 yards with 2 TDs and 1 INT, plus a rushing TD. His efficient performance and connection with receivers (especially Jaden Bradley's 125 yards) gives UNLV a reliable offensive leader heading into conference play.

Fast Start Offensively

UNLV scored on their opening drive and built a 31-7 lead through three quarters. The offense showed balance and big-play capability, which will be crucial against tougher opponents like UCLA next week.

Defensive Late-Game Lapses

While the defense held Sam Houston to 7 points through three quarters, they allowed two long touchdowns (53 and 59 yards) in the fourth quarter. This late-game relaxation could be exploited by UCLA's more potent offense if not addressed.

2-0 Start Builds Momentum

UNLV is undefeated early in the season for the second straight year under Dan Mullen. This confidence boost is valuable as they face a significant step up in competition against UCLA next Saturday at home.

Special Teams Alert

The Rebels allowed a successful onside kick recovery in the fourth quarter, though it didn't result in points. Special teams discipline will be tested against UCLA's more talented units.