Week 12 • November 16, 2025, 12:00 AM UTC
7-2
Big 12
Power Rank: 22.4
55 FINAL 28
5-4
Big 12
Power Rank: 11.2
Utah covered by 17.5 | Game went Over by 21.5
Utah @ Baylor Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:00 PM CST
Stadium: McLane Stadium
Capacity: 45,140
Elevation: 404 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Utah -9.5
Total (O/U) 61.5
Expected Score UTAH 35.5 - 26.0 BAY
Power Rank Implied Line Utah +11.2
Prediction Markets Utah 75% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

31.7°F

Wind Chill: 24.7°F
Wind: 8.1 mph SSW
Gusts: 16.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 44%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Utah (Away)

This Week: 1037.3 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 8053.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 17:00
Rest Days: 15

Baylor (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 2733.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 15

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Utah -9.5
Total Points 61.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Utah 22.4
Baylor 11.2
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1037 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: McLane Stadium
Capacity 45,140
Elevation 404 ft
🌤️ Weather: Clear
Temperature 31.7°F
Wind Speed 8.1 mph
Your Line Baylor -11.2
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Utah

Dampier-Beck Connection Thrives

Quarterback Devon Dampier and offensive coordinator Jason Beck seamlessly translated their New Mexico success to Utah, with Dampier completing 21 of 25 passes for 206 yards and 2 TDs while adding 87 rushing yards. The offense generated 492 total yards, suggesting last season's offensive struggles may be resolved.

Dominant Ground Game

Utah's rushing attack overwhelmed UCLA, accumulating 286 yards compared to UCLA's 84. This control allowed Utah to dominate time of possession by 15 minutes and sustain drives, resulting in 30 first downs.

Explosive Start Sets Tone

The Utes built a 20-0 first-quarter lead with touchdowns from Wayshawn Parker and two-way player Smith Snowden. This early dominance on both sides of the ball allowed Utah to control the game's tempo and momentum throughout.

Defensive Dominance Continues

Utah's defense limited UCLA to just 220 total yards and 10 points, forcing an interception and containing touted transfer QB Nico Iamaleava. The unit's performance suggests it remains a strength as the season begins.

Next: FCS Tune-Up Before Big 12

Utah hosts FCS opponent Cal Poly next week, providing an opportunity to refine the new offensive system, build depth, and address any minor issues before beginning Big 12 conference play. The focus will be on maintaining execution and avoiding complacency.

Baylor

Sawyer Robertson's Elite Quarterback Play

Robertson threw for 440 yards and 4 TDs, marking his third consecutive 400-yard passing game - making him only the fourth Big 12 QB in 15 years to accomplish this feat. Through two games, he has 850+ yards, 7 TDs, and 0 interceptions, putting him in rare company with only two other FBS quarterbacks since 2000.

Exceptional Clutch Performance and Mental Toughness

After trailing by 14 points with 8:38 left in regulation, Baylor scored twice in the final 5:23 to force overtime, then won in double OT. The team showed remarkable resilience after trailing by at least 10 points four different times, taking their only lead on the game-winning field goal.

Explosive Offensive Production

Baylor accumulated 601 total yards with multiple receivers having big games - Ashtyn Hawkins (10 catches, 145 yards), Josh Cameron (9 catches, 151 yards, 2 TDs), and Kobe Prentice (4 catches, 63 yards, 2 TDs). Bryson Washington added 115 rushing yards and 2 TDs, showing a balanced offensive attack.

Strong Bounce-Back Victory

This upset win over #17 SMU represents a significant rebound from their season-opening 38-24 loss to Auburn. The victory extends Baylor's dominance over SMU to 14 straight wins since 1986, demonstrating their ability to perform in rivalry situations.

Favorable Upcoming Schedule

Baylor faces FCS opponent Samford at home next week, providing an opportunity to build momentum and confidence after this emotional double-overtime victory. This should allow them to rest key players and continue developing their offensive rhythm.