Week 12 • November 15, 2025, 08:00 PM UTC
2-7
CUSA
Power Rank: -12.4
24 FINAL 38
6-3
CUSA
Power Rank: -12.1
Missouri State covered by 9.5 | Game went Over by 12.5
UTEP @ Missouri State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:00 PM CST
Stadium: Plaster Sports Complex
Capacity: 17,500
Elevation: 1339 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Missouri State -4.5
Total (O/U) 49.5
Expected Score UTEP 22.5 - 27.0 MOST
Power Rank Implied Line Missouri State +0.3
Prediction Markets Missouri State 67% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

30.0°F

Wind Chill: 23.5°F
Wind: 6.5 mph ESE
Gusts: 13.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 88%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

UTEP (Away)

This Week: 841.4 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 10923.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 13:00
Rest Days: 7

Missouri State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1553.3 miles
Season Total: 8058.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:00
Rest Days: 7

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Missouri State -4.5
Total Points 49.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
UTEP -12.4
Missouri State -12.1
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 841 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: Plaster Sports Complex
Capacity 17,500
Elevation 1339 ft
🌤️ Weather: Clear
Temperature 30.0°F
Wind Speed 6.5 mph
Your Line Missouri State +0.3
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

UTEP

Defensive Pressure Shines Despite Loss

UTEP's defense recorded six sacks and 12 tackles for loss, forcing Utah State into five consecutive punts at one point. This disruptive performance kept the game within reach and is a positive sign for the unit's ability to pressure opponents moving forward.

Offensive Struggles in Critical Moments

The offense failed to capitalize on the defense's strong performance, managing only 16 points. The failed two-point conversion attempt after their late touchdown in the fourth quarter prevented them from closing the gap to a one-score game, highlighting execution issues in key situations.

Run Game Shows Potential

Asthen Emory's late 2-yard touchdown run was part of a ground attack that will need to be more consistent. Developing a reliable rushing offense to complement the defense will be crucial for controlling games and taking pressure off the passing attack.

Need for Faster Starts

UTEP found itself down 20-10 at halftime, forcing them to play from behind. Improving early-game execution on both sides of the ball to avoid early deficits will be a key focus heading into the next contest.

Defense Must Limit Big Plays

While the defense generated pressure, it also surrendered explosive touchdowns—a 58-yard run and a 52-yard pass—that proved decisive. Correcting these coverage and gap discipline breakdowns to prevent chunk plays will be essential for future success.