Week 12 • November 15, 2025, 05:00 PM UTC
7-2
American
Power Rank: 11.6
38 FINAL 41
7-2
American
Power Rank: 3.3
South Florida covered by 7.5 | Game went Over by 13.5
South Florida @ Navy Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM EST
Stadium: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Capacity: 34,000
Elevation: 39 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Navy -10.5
Total (O/U) 65.5
Expected Score USF 27.5 - 38.0 NAVY
Power Rank Implied Line South Florida +8.3
Prediction Markets South Florida 78% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

30.6°F

Wind Chill: 23.2°F
Wind: 7.4 mph SW
Gusts: 12.5 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 75%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

South Florida (Away)

This Week: 833.5 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 4667.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 9

Navy (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1092.4 miles
Season Total: 5886.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 6

⚡ Line Value Calculator

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Betting Information
Current Line Navy -10.5
Total Points 65.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
South Florida 11.6
Navy 3.3
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 834 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest South Florida +3
🏟️ HFA: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Capacity 34,000
Elevation 39 ft
🌤️ Weather: Sunny
Temperature 30.6°F
Wind Speed 7.4 mph
Your Line Navy -8.3
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Navy

Blake Horvath's dual-threat excellence

Horvath was highly efficient through the air (6/8, 168 yards) with a 63-yard TD pass and effective on the ground (72 yards, 2 TDs). His ability to execute both aspects of Navy's offense makes them dangerous and unpredictable for future opponents.

Dominant second-half defensive adjustments

Navy completely shut out UAB in the second half after allowing 24 first-half points, forcing three turnovers including two interceptions. This shows their ability to make halftime adjustments and suggests they can be trusted to cover spreads when trailing at halftime.

Ground game depth and power

Alex Tecza led rushing with 111 yards and scored the clinching TD, while Horvath added 72 yards. This two-headed rushing attack gives Navy multiple ways to control games and wear down defenses, especially important for their triple-option system.

Perfect conference start despite adversity

Navy improved to 2-0 overall and 1-0 in AAC play while dealing with two hour-long weather delays in the first half. Their ability to maintain focus and execute after long delays shows mental toughness that could be valuable in future close games.

Opportunistic defense creating short fields

The three forced turnovers, particularly the two interceptions of UAB's Jalen Kitna, gave Navy's offense excellent field position. This defensive playmaking ability could be crucial in tighter games where field position battles matter more.