Week 11 • November 09, 2025, 12:00 AM UTC
5-4
ACC
Power Rank: -0.7
29 FINAL 26
7-1
ACC
Power Rank: 16.0
California covered by 23.5 | Game went Over by 4.5
California @ Louisville Preview

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:00 PM EST
Stadium: L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Capacity: 60,800
Elevation: 466 ft
HFA Rating: 3.2
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Louisville -20.5
Total (O/U) 50.5
Expected Score CAL 15.0 - 35.5 LOU
Power Rank Implied Line Louisville +16.7
Prediction Markets Louisville 91% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Mist

Mist

17.6°F

Wind Chill: 11.0°F
Wind: 4.3 mph SW
Gusts: 7.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.01"
Humidity: 95%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

California (Away)

This Week: 1977.6 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 13738.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:00
Rest Days: 8

Louisville (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 600.6 miles
Season Total: 3095.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 8

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Louisville -20.5
Total Points 50.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
California -0.7
Louisville 16.0
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1978 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Capacity 60,800
Elevation 466 ft
🌤️ Weather: Mist
Temperature 17.6°F
Wind Speed 4.3 mph
Your Line Louisville +16.7
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

California

Kendrick Raphael emerges as featured back

Transfer RB Kendrick Raphael had a breakout performance with 131 rushing yards and a TD on 7.3 YPC, a massive improvement from his 37-yard debut. This establishes him as the primary ground threat and gives Cal a reliable rushing attack heading into tougher competition.

Dominant defensive performance against overmatched opponent

Cal's defense shut out Texas Southern from touchdowns for the first time since 2021, limiting them to 194 total yards and 3-of-14 on third downs. However, this came against an FCS opponent, so the true test of defensive improvement will come against Minnesota.

Freshman QB Sagapolutele shows steady development

True freshman QB Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele threw for 259 yards with one interception and added a rushing TD, building on his three-TD debut last week. His continued development will be crucial as Cal faces stronger competition in Big Ten play.

Perfect 2-0 start builds momentum but questions remain

Cal is 2-0 for the first time in recent memory, but coach Wilcox emphasized many areas need improvement despite the blowout win. The team's true capabilities will be tested against Minnesota, their first Power 4 opponent of the season.

Louisville

Offensive Firepower on Display

Louisville's offense was explosive, racking up 543 total yards (373 in the first half) and scoring 51 points. Running back Isaac Brown was dominant with 126 yards and 2 TDs on just 6 carries, while QB Miller Moss had an efficient debut (17/25, 223 yards, 1 TD). This high-powered attack will be a major asset moving forward.

Penalty and Turnover Issues

Despite the lopsided win, Louisville committed 12 penalties for 106 yards (most under coach Jeff Brohm) and had three turnovers, which led to both of Eastern Kentucky's touchdowns. Brohm emphasized that cleaning up these mistakes is critical for the team to progress and compete at a higher level.

Strong Defensive Pressure

The Cardinals' defense was disruptive, sacking EKU quarterback Myles Burkett four times and limiting the Colonels to just 150 total yards. This defensive front's ability to generate pressure and stifle the run will be key against more potent offenses.

Miller Moss's Promising Debut

Transfer quarterback Miller Moss showed poise and playmaking ability, completing passes to eight different receivers and leading the offense to a 41-7 halftime lead. His deep-ball connection (30-yard TD to Duke Watson) and mobility (rushing TD) add versatility to the offense, though he did throw two interceptions.

Special Teams Spark

Caullin Lacy's 93-yard punt return touchdown provided an early momentum boost and showcased Louisville's explosive special teams unit. This big-play ability in the return game can be a difference-maker in closer contests.