Week 11 • November 08, 2025, 02:00 AM UTC
6-2
American
Power Rank: 6.5
38 FINAL 32
8-1
American
Power Rank: 8.9
Tulane covered by 11.5 | Game went Over by 13.5
Tulane @ Memphis Preview

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 08:00 PM CST
Stadium: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Capacity: 50,000
Elevation: 315 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Memphis -5.5
Total (O/U) 56.5
Expected Score TULN 25.5 - 31.0 MEM
Power Rank Implied Line Memphis +2.4
Prediction Markets Memphis 61% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

25.3°F

Wind Chill: 17.5°F
Wind: 6.9 mph SSW
Gusts: 12.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 62%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Tulane (Away)

This Week: 356.7 miles
Last Week: 1008.5 miles
Season Total: 3319.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:00
Rest Days: 9

Memphis (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 978.3 miles
Season Total: 4402.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:00
Rest Days: 8

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Memphis -5.5
Total Points 56.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Tulane 6.5
Memphis 8.9
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 357 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Tulane +1
🏟️ HFA: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Capacity 50,000
Elevation 315 ft
🌤️ Weather: Clear
Temperature 25.3°F
Wind Speed 6.9 mph
Your Line Memphis +2.4
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Tulane

Retzlaff's Dynamic Debut

Transfer QB Jake Retzlaff immediately energized the offense, accounting for 265 total yards (152 passing, 113 rushing) and 2 TDs in his first game. Despite six drops by receivers, his dual-threat ability and poise set a positive tone, though the passing game needs more consistency.

Dominant Defensive Performance

The defense forced five turnovers (4 INTs, 1 fumble) and held Northwestern to just 3 points. The secondary, led by Javion White's two interceptions, capitalized on Preston Stone's mistakes, and the front limited Northwestern to 76 net rushing yards, setting up short fields for the offense.

Emotional and Physical Edge

Coach Sumrall used perceived disrespect from Northwestern over uniforms to fuel a 'play for the city' mentality, connecting to the 2005 Katrina team. Combined with oppressive heat/humidity that wore down the Wildcats, Tulane leveraged home-field advantage for a physical, emotional win.

Ground Game Success

Tulane rushed for 268 yards, with Retzlaff's 69-yard TD run highlighting a attack that wore down Northwestern as the game progressed. This established offensive balance and controlled tempo, a strength to build on.

Areas for Improvement

Six dropped passes, including two in the end zone, limited scoring opportunities and kept the game closer than it could have been. Cleaning up receiver execution will be critical against tougher opponents like South Alabama next week.

Memphis

Strong Second Half Adjustments and Control

Memphis demonstrated excellent halftime adjustments, outscoring Georgia State 21-0 in the second half after leading just 17-16 at halftime. The Tigers controlled the game with methodical drives, including two long touchdown drives in the third quarter that each took significant time off the clock (5+ minutes each), showing their ability to wear down opponents.

Makari Bodiford Emerging as Key Offensive Weapon

Bodiford had a standout performance with two rushing touchdowns, including scores from both 7 yards and 1 yard out. His ability to punch in short-yardage touchdowns and contribute to sustained drives makes him a reliable red zone threat that opposing defenses will need to account for.

DeMarco Ward's Defensive Playmaking Streak

Ward recorded his second pick-6 in as many games with a 31-yard interception return for touchdown, establishing himself as a game-changing defensive back. This consistent big-play ability from the secondary provides Memphis with a defensive weapon that can quickly shift momentum and add points.

Improved Start to 2-0 Record

Memphis moved to 2-0 on the season with a convincing 22-point victory, showing they can pull away from opponents after competitive first halves. The Tigers' ability to close out games strong suggests good conditioning and coaching, which will be valuable as they face tougher competition.

Balanced Offensive Attack with Multiple Contributors

The Tigers showed offensive diversity with Brendon Lewis contributing a 5-yard rushing touchdown alongside Bodiford's two scores, and Sutton Smith also finding the end zone in the first half. This multi-faceted ground game gives Memphis multiple options and makes them harder to defend.