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Week 11 • November 08, 2025, 01:00 AM UTC
Houston @ UCF
7-2
Big 12
Power Rank: 8.4
30 FINAL 27
4-4
Big 12
Power Rank: 8.0
Houston covered by 4.5 | Game went Over by 9.5
Houston @ UCF Preview

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 08:00 PM EST
Stadium: FBC Mortgage Stadium
Capacity: 44,206
Elevation: 75 ft
HFA Rating: 2.8
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread UCF -1.5
Total (O/U) 47.5
Expected Score HOU 23.0 - 24.5 UCF
Power Rank Implied Line Houston +0.4
Prediction Markets Houston 53% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

32.2°F

Wind Chill: 25.6°F
Wind: 7.2 mph NW
Gusts: 12.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 34%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Houston (Away)

This Week: 858.6 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 7791.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 7

UCF (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1948.5 miles
Season Total: 9544.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:00
Rest Days: 7

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line UCF -1.5
Total Points 47.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Houston 8.4
UCF 8.0
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 859 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: FBC Mortgage Stadium
Capacity 44,206
Elevation 75 ft
🌤️ Weather: Clear
Temperature 32.2°F
Wind Speed 7.2 mph
Your Line UCF -0.4
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Houston

Dual-threat quarterback performance from Weigman

Conner Weigman showed versatility with 188 passing yards, 1 passing TD, and 1 rushing TD, including a crucial 74-yard touchdown pass to Stephon Johnson. His ability to hurt defenses both through the air and on the ground will be key against Colorado's defense.

Dean Connors emerges as explosive rushing threat

Transfer RB Dean Connors dominated with 132 yards and 2 TDs on just 13 carries, including explosive runs of 54 and 42 yards. His big-play ability and 'running through the smoke' mentality gives Houston a reliable ground game weapon moving forward.

Defense creates turnovers and pressure consistently

Houston's defense recorded 3 sacks, 8 tackles for loss, and forced 2 turnovers including a 37-yard pick-six by Will James. This defensive pressure and takeaway ability will be crucial against Colorado's potentially more explosive offense.

Slow offensive starts remain a concern

Despite the final score, Houston managed only a 7-3 halftime lead and struggled on their first six drives with five punts and a turnover on downs. Coach Fritz noted they didn't execute well early, which could be problematic against stronger opponents like Colorado.

Offensive weapons showing depth and potential

Beyond Connors and Weigman, players like Tanner Koziol (6 catches, 52 yards) contributed, and Coach Fritz expressed confidence in their receiver room and running back depth. This offensive versatility will be tested against Colorado's defense.