Week 10 • November 01, 2025, 08:00 PM UTC
4-4
SEC
Power Rank: 14.0
38 FINAL 35
2-6
SEC
Power Rank: 10.4
Mississippi State covered by 7.5 | Game went Over by 5.5
Mississippi State @ Arkansas Preview

General Information

Week: Week 10
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:00 PM CDT
Stadium: Razorback Stadium
Capacity: 76,212
Elevation: 1358 ft
HFA Rating: 2.1
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Arkansas -4.5
Total (O/U) 67.5
Expected Score MSST 31.5 - 36.0 ARK
Power Rank Implied Line Mississippi State +3.6
Prediction Markets Arkansas 64% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

33.7°F

Wind Chill: 30.4°F
Wind: 3.6 mph E
Gusts: 7.6 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 81%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Mississippi State (Away)

This Week: 355.2 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 2547.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:00
Rest Days: 7

Arkansas (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 2214.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:00
Rest Days: 7

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Arkansas -4.5
Total Points 67.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Mississippi State 14.0
Arkansas 10.4
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 355 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: Razorback Stadium
Capacity 76,212
Elevation 1358 ft
🌤️ Weather: Clear
Temperature 33.7°F
Wind Speed 3.6 mph
Your Line Arkansas -3.6
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Arkansas

Nine-game losing streak continues with defensive collapse

Arkansas extended their losing streak to nine games in a 52-37 loss to Texas, marking another defensive breakdown where they allowed 52 points. The Razorbacks have now surrendered significant point totals consistently, indicating major defensive issues that will be problematic against Missouri's offense next week.

Second-half turnovers and inability to get stops

Arkansas was competitive in the first half, trailing only 24-20, but quarterback Taylen Green threw a crucial interception on their first possession of the second half that led to a Texas touchdown. Interim coach Bobby Petrino noted they 'couldn't get off the field' defensively in the second half, showing continued issues with closing out games.

Team attitude and leadership concerns emerging

For the first time this season, interim coach Bobby Petrino expressed concern about some players' attitudes not being where they need to be. This suggests potential locker room issues and lack of fight as the season winds down, which could impact their performance against ranked Missouri.

Offensive bright spots with Green and Washington

Despite the loss, Arkansas showed some offensive capability with touchdown runs from both quarterback Taylen Green and running back Mike Washington. The ability to keep pace early (20 points in first half) suggests the offense can move the ball, which may be crucial against Missouri's defense.

Winless in SEC play heading into final game

Arkansas remains 0-7 in SEC play and 2-9 overall, making them one of the worst teams in the conference. With only the Missouri game remaining, they face a ranked opponent while showing signs of a team that has mentally checked out, making an upset victory unlikely.