Week 10 • October 31, 2025, 11:00 PM UTC
7-1
American
Power Rank: 8.4
38 FINAL 14
4-4
American
Power Rank: -14.6
Memphis covered by 10.5 | Game went Over by 2.5
Memphis @ Rice Preview

General Information

Week: Week 10
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:00 PM CDT
Stadium: Rice Stadium
Capacity: 47,000
Elevation: 66 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Memphis -13.5
Total (O/U) 49.5
Expected Score MEM 31.5 - 18.0 RICE
Power Rank Implied Line Memphis +23.0
Prediction Markets Memphis 85% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

48.2°F

Wind Chill: 46.3°F
Wind: 4.9 mph SSW
Gusts: 8.3 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 63%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Memphis (Away)

This Week: 489.1 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 3912.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 6

Rice (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 6743.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 6

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Memphis -13.5
Total Points 49.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Memphis 8.4
Rice -14.6
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 489 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: Rice Stadium
Capacity 47,000
Elevation 66 ft
🌤️ Weather: Clear
Temperature 48.2°F
Wind Speed 4.9 mph
Your Line Rice -23.0
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Memphis

Strong Second Half Adjustments and Control

Memphis demonstrated excellent halftime adjustments, outscoring Georgia State 21-0 in the second half after leading just 17-16 at halftime. The Tigers controlled the game with methodical drives, including two long touchdown drives in the third quarter that each took significant time off the clock (5+ minutes each), showing their ability to wear down opponents.

Makari Bodiford Emerging as Key Offensive Weapon

Bodiford had a standout performance with two rushing touchdowns, including scores from both 7 yards and 1 yard out. His ability to punch in short-yardage touchdowns and contribute to sustained drives makes him a reliable red zone threat that opposing defenses will need to account for.

DeMarco Ward's Defensive Playmaking Streak

Ward recorded his second pick-6 in as many games with a 31-yard interception return for touchdown, establishing himself as a game-changing defensive back. This consistent big-play ability from the secondary provides Memphis with a defensive weapon that can quickly shift momentum and add points.

Improved Start to 2-0 Record

Memphis moved to 2-0 on the season with a convincing 22-point victory, showing they can pull away from opponents after competitive first halves. The Tigers' ability to close out games strong suggests good conditioning and coaching, which will be valuable as they face tougher competition.

Balanced Offensive Attack with Multiple Contributors

The Tigers showed offensive diversity with Brendon Lewis contributing a 5-yard rushing touchdown alongside Bodiford's two scores, and Sutton Smith also finding the end zone in the first half. This multi-faceted ground game gives Memphis multiple options and makes them harder to defend.

Rice

Offensive Execution and Consistency Issues

Rice struggled with offensive execution from the start and failed to maintain momentum when they found it. Despite totaling 228 yards with a solid 177 rushing yards, they couldn't sustain drives effectively, managing only 9 points against Houston's defense.

Strong Early Defensive Performance Faded

The Owls' defense showed promise early, forcing five punts and a turnover on downs in Houston's first six drives. However, they collapsed in the second half, allowing Houston to score on four of their next five drives, highlighting potential conditioning or adjustment issues.

Quarterback Play Limitations

Chase Jenkins completed 10 of 12 passes but for only 50 yards, indicating a very conservative passing attack that may limit Rice's ability to compete against stronger opponents. The lack of explosive passing plays could be problematic moving forward.

Coaching Adjustments Needed

Coach Scott Abell acknowledged the team's failure to execute and make timely adjustments, taking responsibility for the loss. This suggests systemic issues that need addressing before facing Prairie View A&M, particularly in game management and in-game adaptations.

Ground Game Foundation to Build On

Rice showed a capable rushing attack with Daelen Alexander (55 yards) and Quinton Jackson (52 yards) combining for solid production. This ground game could be the foundation for future success if they can complement it with better passing and red zone execution.