Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl • January 02, 2026, 06:00 PM UTC
0-0
American
Power Rank: -12.8
10 FINAL 41
0-0
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -0.7

General Information

Week: Postseason
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM CST
Stadium: Amon G. Carter Stadium
Capacity: 47,000
Elevation: 646 ft
HFA Rating: N/A
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Expected Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Texas State +12.1
Prediction Markets Rice 50% Texas State 50% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

53.3°F

Wind Chill: 51.1°F
Wind: 6.5 mph SSW
Gusts: 12.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 39%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Rice (Away)

This Week: 236.6 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 8562.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 34

Texas State (Home)

This Week: 197.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 7062.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 34

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line --
Total Points --
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Rice -12.8
Texas State -0.7
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 237 mi
Home Team Travel 197 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: Amon G. Carter Stadium
Capacity 47,000
Elevation 646 ft
🌤️ Weather: Sunny
Temperature 53.3°F
Wind Speed 6.5 mph
Your Line Texas State +12.1
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Rice

Offensive Execution and Consistency Issues

Rice struggled with offensive execution from the start and failed to maintain momentum when they found it. Despite totaling 228 yards with a solid 177 rushing yards, they couldn't sustain drives effectively, managing only 9 points against Houston's defense.

Strong Early Defensive Performance Faded

The Owls' defense showed promise early, forcing five punts and a turnover on downs in Houston's first six drives. However, they collapsed in the second half, allowing Houston to score on four of their next five drives, highlighting potential conditioning or adjustment issues.

Quarterback Play Limitations

Chase Jenkins completed 10 of 12 passes but for only 50 yards, indicating a very conservative passing attack that may limit Rice's ability to compete against stronger opponents. The lack of explosive passing plays could be problematic moving forward.

Coaching Adjustments Needed

Coach Scott Abell acknowledged the team's failure to execute and make timely adjustments, taking responsibility for the loss. This suggests systemic issues that need addressing before facing Prairie View A&M, particularly in game management and in-game adaptations.

Ground Game Foundation to Build On

Rice showed a capable rushing attack with Daelen Alexander (55 yards) and Quinton Jackson (52 yards) combining for solid production. This ground game could be the foundation for future success if they can complement it with better passing and red zone execution.