College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Rose Bowl Presented by Prudential • January 01, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC
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SEC
Power Rank: 30.2
3 FINAL 38
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Big Ten
Power Rank: 33.7

General Information

Week: Postseason
Kick Off (at stadium): 01:00 PM PST
Stadium: Rose Bowl
Capacity: 89,702
Elevation: 810 ft
HFA Rating: N/A
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Expected Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Indiana +3.5
Prediction Markets Alabama 50% Indiana 50% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

56.0°F

Feels Like: 56.5°F
Wind: 3.1 mph SSW
Gusts: 3.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 67%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Alabama (Away)

This Week: 1758.7 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 5502.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:00
Rest Days: 33

Indiana (Home)

This Week: 1781.9 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 8467.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:00
Rest Days: 33

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line --
Total Points --
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Alabama 30.2
Indiana 33.7
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1759 mi
Home Team Travel 1782 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: Rose Bowl
Capacity 89,702
Elevation 810 ft
🌤️ Weather: Clear
Temperature 56.0°F
Wind Speed 3.1 mph
Your Line Indiana +3.5
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Alabama

Running Game Shows Major Improvement

Alabama rushed for a season-high 269 yards with 8 rushing touchdowns, their most since 1979. This is significant progress for a team ranked 123rd nationally in rushing (108.7 yards per game), potentially providing a more balanced offensive attack heading into the crucial Iron Bowl.

Key Players Rested for Iron Bowl

Alabama strategically held out key starters including receiver Germie Bernard, center Parker Brailsford, and injured tight end Josh Cuevas. This rest should help keep core players fresh for the high-stakes Iron Bowl, though Cuevas' injury status remains uncertain.

Turnover Issues Persist with Backup QB

Ty Simpson threw two interceptions, extending his streak to seven consecutive games with a turnover. This ongoing turnover problem could be concerning if Alabama needs to rely on backup quarterbacks in crucial situations against Auburn.

Kicking Game Concerns Emerge

Conor Talty missed a 28-yard field goal and was eventually replaced, drawing boos from the home crowd. Special teams reliability could be crucial in a potentially close Iron Bowl game where every point matters.

SEC Championship and Playoff Stakes

Alabama needs to beat Auburn in the Iron Bowl to clinch a spot in the SEC Championship game. A loss could end their College Football Playoff hopes entirely, making next week's game essentially a must-win situation for their postseason aspirations.

Indiana

Quarterback Fernando Mendoza Shows Strong Command

Transfer QB Fernando Mendoza completed 18 of 25 passes for 245 yards and 4 TDs, demonstrating excellent chemistry with receiver Elijah Sarratt (3 TD catches). His efficient performance and ability to spread the ball around suggests Indiana has found stability at the quarterback position.

Dominant Performance Should Stabilize Ranking

After dropping from No. 20 to No. 23 following a closer-than-expected win over Old Dominion, this 56-9 blowout victory should help maintain or potentially improve their ranking. The convincing nature of the win addresses concerns from the previous week's performance.

Balanced Offensive Attack with Big-Play Capability

Indiana showed versatility with Lee Beebe Jr. rushing for 90 yards and Omar Cooper Jr.'s 75-yard end-around touchdown following a fumble recovery. The 593 total yards of offense demonstrates the team's ability to attack defenses multiple ways.

Clean Game Execution and Discipline

The Hoosiers committed zero turnovers and only three penalties while forcing turnovers, showing improved discipline and ball security compared to their previous outing. This level of execution will be crucial against stronger opponents.

Depth Development with Backup QB Success

Backup QB Alberto Mendoza (Fernando's brother) completed all 3 passes for 35 yards including his first career TD pass, showing the program is developing depth at key positions while maintaining high standards in garbage time.