Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

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Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns is 5-3 on the season, 5-3 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -0.7. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns's games are hitting the under at 62% this season (5-3), a notable trend for totals bettors. The Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns host South Alabama next in Week 10.

Conference: Sun Belt Conference
Stadium: Cajun Field, Lafayette, LA
Power Rating (most current): -0.7
HFA Rating:2.8 pts
2026 Win Total:7.5
2026 Record: 5-3
2026 ATS: 5-3
2026 O/U: 3-5

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 8 of 2026 the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Power Rating of -0.7 is 0.7 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns have logged 5,286 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 6,624 miles, ranking 77th heaviest in the FBS.

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachMichael Desormeaux
Tenure4+ seasons
Record29-25
Offensive coordinatorTim Leger
Defensive coordinatorJim Salgado

Offense

Lunch Winfield QB, Shelton Sampson Jr. WR, Ja'Corian Norris WR, Kaden Moreau OL, Cooper Fordham OL

Defense

Brent Gordon Jr. CB, Fitzgerald West Jr. DL, Chase Edwards DL, Ashley Williams LB, Lance Williams EDGE, Maxie Baudoin IV DL, Maurion Eleam S, Kody Jackson S, Micah Johnson LB, Conor McPherson LB, Ethan Veal LB

Special teams

Tony Sterner K, Mason Golding P

2025 Season in Review

Record6-7 ATS6-7 O/U8-5
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 10-10-10-1
Week 21-11-10-2
Week 31-21-21-2
Week 41-31-32-2
Week 52-32-33-2
Week 72-43-33-3
Week 82-53-43-4
Week 92-63-54-4
Week 103-64-55-4
Week 114-65-56-4
Week 135-66-57-4
Week 146-66-68-4
Postseason6-76-78-5

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened -8.9 in the preseason and finished -0.7 after week 8, a move of +8.2 points. High -0.7 (week 8), low -8.9 (the preseason).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from -8.9 to -0.7.

PreW8

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns SP+ Profile

Offence+25.274 of 138higher is better
Defence+33.9116 of 138lower is better
Special teams-0.5118 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±3.0 pts
HFA measured+3.5 pts
HFA applied+2.8 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.7 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
UAB22-02-0
Arkansas State108-26-4
Troy73-44-3
Southern Miss51-40-5
South Alabama108-26-4
UL Monroe108-25-5
Coastal Carolina42-22-2
Georgia State43-10-3-1

No meeting on record since 2016: Lamar, USC, Charlotte, Louisiana Tech.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home42-1729-28-2 ATS · 59 games
On the road35-2735-25-2 ATS · 62 games
Neutral site3-72-8 ATS · 10 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

6,624 miles - ranked 77th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 6,624 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 06,624 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1LamarHome0 mi
Week 2USC1,558 mi3,117 mi
Week 3UABHome3,117 mi
Week 4Charlotte744 mi4,604 mi
Week 5Arkansas StateHome4,604 mi
Week 6Louisiana Tech164 mi4,932 mi
Week 7TroyHome4,932 mi
Week 8Southern Miss177 mi5,286 mi
Week 9-Bye
Week 10South AlabamaHome5,286 mi
Week 11UL Monroe160 mi5,606 mi
Week 12Coastal CarolinaHome5,606 mi
Week 13Georgia State509 mi6,624 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Season Outlook

Winfield drives the offense, but turnovers are a concern

Lunch Winfield has been the engine of the Louisiana offense, doing most of his damage as a runner after taking over as the starter midway through last season. He has six rushing touchdowns on the year, including a 9-yard score in the win at Charlotte. However, his passing has been inconsistent, and he threw two interceptions in the loss at Louisiana Tech. With a thin running back room following the transfers of Zylan Perry and Bill Davis, Winfield's legs remain the most reliable weapon, but the offense stalls when he is forced into obvious passing downs. The Cajuns have scored 23, 31, and 31 in their last three games, and they have not topped 34 points since Week 4. If Winfield can cut down on turnovers and continue to develop as a passer, the offense can reach another level.

Defense has flipped from liability to strength, but pass defense remains vulnerable

The preseason concern was that losing nine of the top ten defenders by snap count would sink this unit, but the defense has been a pleasant surprise. After holding UAB to 14 points and Charlotte to 7, the Cajuns allowed just 21 points across two games. Cornerback Brent Gordon Jr. has been a playmaker, with seven tackles, an interception, and two forced fumbles in the Charlotte win. The young linebacker trio of Micah Johnson, Conor McPherson, and Ethan Veal has settled in faster than expected. However, the pass defense was exposed in the loss at Louisiana Tech, where Blake Baker threw for 319 yards and three touchdowns. Troy's offense was kept in check, but the vulnerability through the air remains a concern. If the Cajuns can generate pressure and tighten coverage, the defense can continue to be a strength.

Offensive line continuity is the foundation of the offense

Last season, the Cajuns used eight different starting combinations on the offensive line due to injuries, but seven of the ten linemen who played are back, including interior anchors Kaden Moreau and Cooper Fordham. This group has been a strength, providing clean pockets for Winfield and opening holes for the running game. The line held up reasonably well against USC's Power Four front and has dominated lesser opponents. Their cohesion is a key reason the Cajuns have been able to control the clock and move the chains. As the season progresses, this unit will need to continue to play at a high level to compensate for the lack of proven running backs and Winfield's passing inconsistencies.

Situational advantages and home-field edge

Louisiana has benefited from a favorable schedule in terms of travel and rest. They have played four home games and three road games, with the longest trip being 1,558 miles to USC. The Cajuns have a 5-2 record against the spread, covering in every road game, including as a heavy underdog at USC. At home, they have been solid but not always dominant, with a 7-point win over UAB and a 3-point win over Arkansas State that did not cover. The remaining schedule includes a trip to Southern Miss, where they are 10-point favorites, and other winnable games. The home-field advantage has been meaningful, and the Cajuns have generally taken care of business when favored. If they can avoid letdown spots and maintain their focus, they should be in position to contend for a bowl game.

Coaching stability and program identity

Head coach Michael Desormeaux is in his fifth year at the helm, with a 29-25 record. He runs a homegrown program with only 15 transfers on the spring roster, among the fewest in the country. The 10-4 finish in 2024 showed that the old-fashioned approach can still yield success, but the baseline has been 6-7 records in his other three seasons. The challenge this year is to buck that trend and establish consistency. The staff has done a good job developing players like Brent Gordon Jr. and integrating young linebackers into the defense. The culture and stability are strengths, but the program needs to take the next step and compete for a conference title. The rest of the season will reveal whether this team can break the pattern of mediocrity and become a consistent winner.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns is 5-3 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 62% of games.

What is Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -0.7, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns's home field advantage rating?

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns's home field advantage rating is 2.8 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns's 2026 win total?

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at +115 over and -145 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns travel in 2026?

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns travels 6,624 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 77th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns: 5-3 overall, 5-3 ATS, power rating -0.7 (2026 records).