26
Final
23
38
Final
61
13
Final
20
30
Final
24
34
Final
6
31
Final
34
34
Final
41
16
Final
35
19
Final
16
38
Final
35
14
Final
28
28
Final
31
38
Final
45
14
Final
42
24
Final
20
13
Final
6
20
Final
59
49
Final
51
23
Final
52
24
Final
37
38
Final
17
24
Final
25
28
Final
27
20
Final
35
10
Final
21
24
Final
27
56
Final
21
31
Final
39
24
Final
31
20
Final
31
49
Final
39
10
Final
13
23
Final
15
10
Final
28
17
Final
34
49
Final
27
17
Final
28
20
Final
24
21
Final
14
13
Final
28
31
Final
35
0
Final
26
31
Final
10
49
Final
56
20
Final
16
24
Final
57
32
Final
38
3
Final
39
17
Final
20
7
Final
24
27
Final
34
17
Final
34
31
Final
30
42
Final
19
16
Final
21
13
Final
21
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns is 5-3 on the season, 5-3 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -0.7. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns's games are hitting the under at 62% this season (5-3), a notable trend for totals bettors. The Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns host South Alabama next in Week 10.
In Week 8 of 2026 the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Power Rating of -0.7 is 0.7 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns have logged 5,286 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 6,624 miles, ranking 77th heaviest in the FBS.
Lunch Winfield QB, Shelton Sampson Jr. WR, Ja'Corian Norris WR, Kaden Moreau OL, Cooper Fordham OL
Brent Gordon Jr. CB, Fitzgerald West Jr. DL, Chase Edwards DL, Ashley Williams LB, Lance Williams EDGE, Maxie Baudoin IV DL, Maurion Eleam S, Kody Jackson S, Micah Johnson LB, Conor McPherson LB, Ethan Veal LB
Tony Sterner K, Mason Golding P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Week 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Week 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Week 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Week 7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Week 8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Week 9 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 4-4 |
| Week 10 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 5-4 |
| Week 11 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Week 13 | 5-6 | 6-5 | 7-4 |
| Week 14 | 6-6 | 6-6 | 8-4 |
| Postseason | 6-7 | 6-7 | 8-5 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -8.9 in the preseason and finished -0.7 after week 8, a move of +8.2 points. High -0.7 (week 8), low -8.9 (the preseason).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.7 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| UAB | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Arkansas State | 10 | 8-2 | 6-4 |
| Troy | 7 | 3-4 | 4-3 |
| Southern Miss | 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| South Alabama | 10 | 8-2 | 6-4 |
| UL Monroe | 10 | 8-2 | 5-5 |
| Coastal Carolina | 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Georgia State | 4 | 3-1 | 0-3-1 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Lamar, USC, Charlotte, Louisiana Tech.
Week 06,624 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Lamar | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | USC | 1,558 mi | 3,117 mi |
| Week 3 | UAB | Home | 3,117 mi |
| Week 4 | Charlotte | 744 mi | 4,604 mi |
| Week 5 | Arkansas State | Home | 4,604 mi |
| Week 6 | Louisiana Tech | 164 mi | 4,932 mi |
| Week 7 | Troy | Home | 4,932 mi |
| Week 8 | Southern Miss | 177 mi | 5,286 mi |
| Week 9 | - | Bye | |
| Week 10 | South Alabama | Home | 5,286 mi |
| Week 11 | UL Monroe | 160 mi | 5,606 mi |
| Week 12 | Coastal Carolina | Home | 5,606 mi |
| Week 13 | Georgia State | 509 mi | 6,624 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Lunch Winfield has been the engine of the Louisiana offense, doing most of his damage as a runner after taking over as the starter midway through last season. He has six rushing touchdowns on the year, including a 9-yard score in the win at Charlotte. However, his passing has been inconsistent, and he threw two interceptions in the loss at Louisiana Tech. With a thin running back room following the transfers of Zylan Perry and Bill Davis, Winfield's legs remain the most reliable weapon, but the offense stalls when he is forced into obvious passing downs. The Cajuns have scored 23, 31, and 31 in their last three games, and they have not topped 34 points since Week 4. If Winfield can cut down on turnovers and continue to develop as a passer, the offense can reach another level.
The preseason concern was that losing nine of the top ten defenders by snap count would sink this unit, but the defense has been a pleasant surprise. After holding UAB to 14 points and Charlotte to 7, the Cajuns allowed just 21 points across two games. Cornerback Brent Gordon Jr. has been a playmaker, with seven tackles, an interception, and two forced fumbles in the Charlotte win. The young linebacker trio of Micah Johnson, Conor McPherson, and Ethan Veal has settled in faster than expected. However, the pass defense was exposed in the loss at Louisiana Tech, where Blake Baker threw for 319 yards and three touchdowns. Troy's offense was kept in check, but the vulnerability through the air remains a concern. If the Cajuns can generate pressure and tighten coverage, the defense can continue to be a strength.
Last season, the Cajuns used eight different starting combinations on the offensive line due to injuries, but seven of the ten linemen who played are back, including interior anchors Kaden Moreau and Cooper Fordham. This group has been a strength, providing clean pockets for Winfield and opening holes for the running game. The line held up reasonably well against USC's Power Four front and has dominated lesser opponents. Their cohesion is a key reason the Cajuns have been able to control the clock and move the chains. As the season progresses, this unit will need to continue to play at a high level to compensate for the lack of proven running backs and Winfield's passing inconsistencies.
Louisiana has benefited from a favorable schedule in terms of travel and rest. They have played four home games and three road games, with the longest trip being 1,558 miles to USC. The Cajuns have a 5-2 record against the spread, covering in every road game, including as a heavy underdog at USC. At home, they have been solid but not always dominant, with a 7-point win over UAB and a 3-point win over Arkansas State that did not cover. The remaining schedule includes a trip to Southern Miss, where they are 10-point favorites, and other winnable games. The home-field advantage has been meaningful, and the Cajuns have generally taken care of business when favored. If they can avoid letdown spots and maintain their focus, they should be in position to contend for a bowl game.
Head coach Michael Desormeaux is in his fifth year at the helm, with a 29-25 record. He runs a homegrown program with only 15 transfers on the spring roster, among the fewest in the country. The 10-4 finish in 2024 showed that the old-fashioned approach can still yield success, but the baseline has been 6-7 records in his other three seasons. The challenge this year is to buck that trend and establish consistency. The staff has done a good job developing players like Brent Gordon Jr. and integrating young linebackers into the defense. The culture and stability are strengths, but the program needs to take the next step and compete for a conference title. The rest of the season will reveal whether this team can break the pattern of mediocrity and become a consistent winner.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns is 5-3 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 62% of games.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -0.7, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns's home field advantage rating is 2.8 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at +115 over and -145 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns travels 6,624 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 77th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns: 5-3 overall, 5-3 ATS, power rating -0.7 (2026 records).