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Week 11 •
Rose Bowl

Illinois @ UCLA

2-3 Big Ten Power rating: 4.2
4-0 Big Ten Power rating: 12.5

By · Last updated

Is there value in the Illinois vs UCLA line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
UCLA -10.7
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors ILLfavors UCLA ▸
8.3 › UCLA
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UCLA
no impact
UCLA
no impact
no impact
1 ILL1 UCLA2 ILL2 UCLAModel: UCLA -10.7

UCLA (power rating: 12.5) holds a 8.3-point advantage over Illinois (4.2) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. UCLA's home field adds 1.5 points to that advantage at Rose Bowl. Beyond home field, the model also charges Illinois's westward trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Illinois vs UCLA at Rose Bowl?

The latest reading for Rose Bowl shows Clear, 60°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Illinois and UCLA compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor UCLA (12.5) over Illinois (4.2) by 8.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UCLA brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Illinois and UCLA?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this UCLA -10.7. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

60°F

Rain4%
Precip0.00"
Humidity62%
Wind3 mph ENE
Gusts14 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Illinois at UCLA: aerial view of Rose Bowl, wind from the ENE at 2.9 mph, gusting to 14.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM PST
Venue
Rose Bowl
Capacity
89,702
Elevation
810 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

IllinoisAway UCLAHome
This week1,694 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game3,035 miles
Season total3,994 miles9,777 miles
Body clock20:0018:00
Rest7 days7 days

Illinois travels 1,694 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. That is a westward shift of 2 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

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