DraftKings · as of October 4, 2026
Tennessee (power rating: 18.0) carries a 11.7-point advantage over Vanderbilt (6.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Vanderbilt's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 1.5) narrows that gap at FirstBank Stadium. The market line is Tennessee -3.0 and our model shows Tennessee -9.7; Major model-market disagreement - verify the inputs. Beyond home field, the model also charges the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for FirstBank Stadium shows Light drizzle, 59°F with winds of 9 mph. Gusts reaching 31 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. There is a 72% chance of rain, though little accumulation is expected. Blue Chip has not been able to measure a reliable line effect from rain, so treat this as context rather than signal. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction market pricing is not yet available for this game. The bookmaker spread of Tennessee -3.0 sets the line for now. The Blue Chip model makes it Tennessee -9.7; see the line value calculator below for the full breakdown.
Light drizzle
59°F
| Measure | TennesseeAway | VanderbiltHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 162 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 1,034 miles |
| Season total | 3,657 miles | 2,835 miles |
| Body clock | 00:00 | 23:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
Tennessee travels 162 miles to this game, a short road trip. Tennessee arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.
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