Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

By · Last updated

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets is 2-4 on the season, 1-5 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -0.7. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets's games are going over the total at 67% this season (4-2), a notable trend for totals bettors. The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets host Boston College next in Week 8.

Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference
Stadium: Bobby Dodd Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Power Rating (most current): -0.7
HFA Rating:1.1 pts
2026 Win Total:6.5
2026 Record: 2-4
2026 ATS: 1-5
2026 O/U: 4-2

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 7 of 2026 the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Power Rating of -0.7 is 0.7 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets have logged 4,908 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 6,284 miles, ranking 82nd heaviest in the FBS.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachBrent Key
Tenure3+ seasons
Record27-20
Offensive coordinatorsGeorge Godsey, Chris Weinke
Defensive coordinatorJason Semore

Offense

Alberto Mendoza QB, Justice Haynes RB, Malachi Hosley RB, Jordan Allen WR, Isaiah Fuhrmann WR, Ethan Mackenny OL, Malachi Carney OL

Defense

Kyle Efford LB, E.J. Lightsey LB, Jaylen Mbakwe CB, Jonas Duclona CB, Tae Harris S, Fenix Felton S

Special teams

Aidan Birr K

2025 Season in Review

Record9-4 ATS7-6 O/U7-6
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-01-00-1
Week 22-02-01-1
Week 33-03-01-2
Week 44-03-12-2
Week 55-03-23-2
Week 76-04-23-3
Week 87-05-23-4
Week 98-06-24-4
Week 108-16-35-4
Week 129-16-46-4
Week 139-26-57-4
Week 149-37-57-5
Postseason9-47-67-6

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +6.5 in the preseason and finished -0.7 after week 8, a move of -7.2 points. High +6.8 (week 1), low -2.7 (week 6).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from +6.5 to -0.7.

PreW8

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets SP+ Profile

Offence+28.853 of 138higher is better
Defence+23.452 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.66 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±1.0 pts
HFA measured-2.6 pts
HFA applied+1.1 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of -2.6 is regressed to +1.1 before it is applied, a difference of 3.7 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Colorado11-01-0
Tennessee10-11-0
Mercer11-00-1
Duke96-33-4-2
Virginia Tech85-35-3
Boston College52-30-4-1
Pittsburgh82-63-5
Louisville42-23-1
Clemson91-82-6-1
Wake Forest33-02-1
Georgia91-85-4

No meeting on record since 2016: Stanford.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home34-2626-33-1 ATS · 60 games
On the road19-3024-23-2 ATS · 49 games
Neutral site5-87-5-1 ATS · 13 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

6,284 miles - ranked 82nd heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 6,284 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 06,284 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1ColoradoHome0 mi
Week 2TennesseeHome0 mi
Week 3MercerHome0 mi
Week 4Stanford2,127 mi4,254 mi
Week 5-Bye
Week 6DukeHome4,254 mi
Week 7Virginia Tech327 mi4,908 mi
Week 8Boston CollegeHome4,908 mi
Week 9Pittsburgh520 mi5,947 mi
Week 10LouisvilleHome5,947 mi
Week 11Clemson108 mi6,164 mi
Week 12Wake ForestHome6,164 mi
Week 13Georgia60 mi6,284 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Season Outlook

Slow start leaves Jackets playing catch-up

Georgia Tech opened with a 13-14 home loss to Colorado, then fell 24-45 to Tennessee, and sits at 2-4 overall and 1-2 in ACC play. The Buffaloes blocked a potential game-winning field goal, and the Volunteers returned an interception for a touchdown. The Jackets have yet to cover a spread in six games (1-5 ATS), with their only cover coming as a home underdog against Duke. The early schedule was tough, but the team has yet to put together a complete performance for four quarters.

Mendoza's growth is the offense's swing factor

Alberto Mendoza has shown promise in his first year as starter, throwing for 237 yards against Colorado and a career-high 335 yards at Virginia Tech, but he also threw two interceptions against Tennessee and has been prone to turnovers. His best game came against Duke, when he completed 23 of 30 passes for 218 yards with one touchdown and no interceptions, including key completions on the game-winning drive. The offense is at its best when Mendoza protects the ball and distributes to Jordan Allen, who had 10 catches for 99 yards against Duke. The receiving corps is thin after attrition, with Allen and FCS transfer Isaiah Fuhrmann as the only proven targets, so Mendoza's decision-making remains the most volatile part of the team.

Run game and Maddox give Jackets a reliable identity

Justice Haynes, a transfer from Michigan, is the headliner and had 141 rushing yards and three total touchdowns against Mercer, but Trelain Maddox has emerged as a dependable second option. Maddox rushed for 81 yards and three touchdowns against Duke, including a 60-yard score and the game-winning 1-yard plunge with 54 seconds left. He also caught touchdown passes against Stanford. The backfield duo fits coordinator George Godsey's ball-control system and gives Georgia Tech a physical presence. The offensive line, anchored by left tackle Ethan Mackenny and guard Malachi Carney, has helped the run game find its footing after a slow start.

Defense remains a work in progress under new coordinator

New defensive coordinator Jason Semore inherited a unit that managed just nine takeaways and 13 sacks in 2025, and the transition has been uneven. The Jackets did not force a turnover in their first two games but finally got two against Mercer, both leading to touchdowns. The run defense has been a major issue, allowing 299 rushing yards to Tennessee and 188 to FCS Mercer. The secondary lost both starting corners and safeties to graduation, forcing transfers Jaylen Mbakwe and Jonas Duclona into immediate roles, and injuries to Mbakwe and Jordan Walker have further depleted the unit. Stanford's Davis Warren passed for 396 yards and three touchdowns in a comeback win, exposing the secondary's vulnerability.

Late-game execution and discipline are trending up

Georgia Tech has been in close games all season, and the difference has often been late-game execution. Against Colorado and Stanford, the Jackets had chances to win but came up short. Against Duke, they drove 61 yards in 1:38 for the go-ahead score and then survived a missed Duke field goal. However, discipline remains a concern: the Jackets committed 12 penalties for 105 yards at Stanford and had multiple miscues at Virginia Tech, including a fumble at the goal line and a muffed punt. Cleaning up those mistakes will be key to turning close losses into wins. The return of Aidan Birr, one of the nation's best kickers, provides stability in the kicking game, though he had a field goal blocked against Colorado.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets is 1-5 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 17% of games.

What is Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -0.7, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets's home field advantage rating?

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets's home field advantage rating is 1.1 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets's 2026 win total?

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 6.5 wins, priced at +120 over and -150 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets travel in 2026?

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets travels 6,284 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 82nd heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: 2-4 overall, 1-5 ATS, power rating -0.7 (2026 records).