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Week 11 •
Kyle Field

Tennessee @ Texas A&M

4-1 SEC Power rating: 17.8
3-2 SEC Power rating: 13.3

By · Last updated

Is there value in the Tennessee vs Texas A&M line?

Market line
TA&M -8.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
TENN -0.9
Edge
-9.4TENN
See details
◂ favors TENNfavors TA&M ▸Market: TA&M -8.5
TENN
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
TA&M
no impact
TA&M
no impact
TA&M
5 TENN5 TA&M10 TENN10 TA&MModel: TENN -0.9

Betting information

Spread
TA&M -8.5
Total
55.5
Odds implied score
TENN 23.5 – 32.0 TA&M

DraftKings · as of October 7, 2026

Tennessee (power rating: 17.8) carries a 4.5-point advantage over Texas A&M (13.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Texas A&M's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0) narrows that gap at Kyle Field. The market line is Texas A&M -8.5 and our model shows Tennessee -0.9; Likely missing information - not a betting signal. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from Tennessee's trip and the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Tennessee vs Texas A&M at Kyle Field?

The latest reading for Kyle Field shows Clear, 79°F with winds of 12 mph. Gusts reaching 25 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What do prediction markets say about Tennessee vs Texas A&M?

Prediction market pricing is not yet available for this game. The bookmaker spread of Texas A&M -8.5 sets the line for now. The Blue Chip model makes it Tennessee -0.9; see the line value calculator below for the full breakdown.

How do Tennessee and Texas A&M compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Tennessee (17.8) over Texas A&M (13.3) by 4.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Texas A&M faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Texas A&M brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Tennessee and Texas A&M?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this Tennessee -0.9, 9.4 points toward Tennessee against the market.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

79°F

Rain8%
Precip0.00"
Humidity78%
Wind12 mph SSE
Gusts25 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Tennessee at Texas A&M: aerial view of Kyle Field, wind from the SSE at 11.9 mph, gusting to 24.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
11:00 PM CST
Venue
Kyle Field
Capacity
102,733
Elevation
367 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

TennesseeAway Texas A&MHome
This week807 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,850 miles
Season total2,689 miles4,794 miles
Body clock00:0023:00
Rest7 days7 days

Tennessee travels 807 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Tennessee arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

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