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Week 12 •
Neyland Stadium

LSU @ Tennessee

4-1 SEC Power rating: 21.4
4-1 SEC Power rating: 17.8

By · Last updated

Is there value in the LSU vs Tennessee line?

Market line
LSU -1.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
LSU -0.8
Edge
+0.8TENN
See details
◂ favors LSUfavors TENN ▸Market: LSU -1.5
‹ 3.6 LSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
TENN
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 LSU1 TENN2 LSU2 TENN3 LSU3 TENNModel: LSU -0.8

Betting information

Spread
LSU -1.5
Total
57.5
Odds implied score
LSU 29.5 – 28.0 TENN

DraftKings · as of October 7, 2026

LSU (power rating: 21.4) carries a 3.6-point advantage over Tennessee (17.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Tennessee's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9) narrows that gap at Neyland Stadium. The market line is LSU -1.5 and our model shows LSU -0.8; Model matches the market. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect LSU vs Tennessee at Neyland Stadium?

The latest reading for Neyland Stadium shows Clear, 68°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What do prediction markets say about LSU vs Tennessee?

Prediction market pricing is not yet available for this game. The bookmaker spread of LSU -1.5 sets the line for now. The Blue Chip model makes it LSU -0.8; see the line value calculator below for the full breakdown.

How do LSU and Tennessee compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor LSU (21.4) over Tennessee (17.8) by 3.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Tennessee faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Tennessee brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on LSU and Tennessee?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this LSU -0.8, within a point of the market: there is no meaningful edge in this line.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

68°F

Rain6%
Precip0.00"
Humidity71%
Wind5 mph SW
Gusts10 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for LSU at Tennessee: aerial view of Neyland Stadium, wind from the SW at 4.5 mph, gusting to 10.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EST
Venue
Neyland Stadium
Capacity
101,915
Elevation
899 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

LSUAway TennesseeHome
This week568 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,613 miles
Season total3,180 miles3,495 miles
Body clock23:0000:00
Rest7 days7 days

LSU travels 568 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. LSU arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

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