South Alabama Jaguars

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South Alabama Jaguars is 1-0 on the season, 1-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -10.2. South Alabama Jaguars enters the season with a power rating of -10.2, placing them below average relative to the FBS midpoint. The South Alabama Jaguars head to Tulane next in Week 2. In 2025, South Alabama Jaguars went 4-8 overall, 5-7 against the spread, and 8-4 on totals.

Conference: Sun Belt Conference
Stadium: Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, AL
Power Rating (most current): -10.2
HFA Rating:2.4 pts
2026 Win Total:5.5
2026 Record: 1-0
2026 ATS: 1-0
2026 O/U: 1-0

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 1 of 2026 the South Alabama Jaguars Power Rating of -10.2 is 10.2 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. South Alabama Jaguars have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 3,989 miles, ranking 118th heaviest in the FBS.

South Alabama Jaguars Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachMajor Applewhite
Tenure2 seasons
Record at school11-14
Career record26-25 (4+ seasons)
Offensive coordinatorMajor Applewhite
Defensive coordinatorsTodd Orland, Jason Washington

Offense

Bishop Davenport QB, Keenan Phillips RB, PJ Martin RB, Anthony Eager WR, Brendan Jenkins WR, Micah Woods WR

Defense

Emmanuel Waller DL, Stephen Johnson DL, Mase Lewis DE, Dylan Chiedo EDGE, Tirrell Johnson LB, Caleb Dozier LB, Jayvon Henderson CB, Cole Blaylock S, Dallas Young S

Special teams

Davis Little K, Aleksi Pulkkinen P

2025 Season in Review

Record4-8 ATS5-7 O/U8-4
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-00-11-0
Week 21-11-12-0
Week 31-22-12-1
Week 41-32-23-1
Week 51-42-33-2
Week 61-52-44-2
Week 81-62-54-3
Week 92-63-55-3
Week 102-73-66-3
Week 123-74-66-4
Week 134-75-67-4
Week 144-85-78-4

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened -10.8 in the preseason and finished -10.2 after week 2, a move of +0.6 points. High -10.2 (week 2), low -11.3 (week 1).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 4 points, from -10.8 to -10.2.

PreW2

South Alabama Jaguars SP+ Profile

Offence+22.797 of 138higher is better
Defence+35.4126 of 138lower is better
Special teams-0.7135 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±1.9 pts
HFA measured+2.0 pts
HFA applied+2.4 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.4 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
SE Louisiana11-00-1
Tulane30-32-1
Ohio10-10-1
UL Monroe106-46-4
Arkansas State106-45-5
Marshall11-01-0
Louisiana Tech31-22-1
Louisiana102-84-6
Troy102-83-7
Southern Miss66-04-2
App State41-32-2

No meeting on record since 2016: Kentucky.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home32-2830-30 ATS · 60 games
On the road18-4123-34-2 ATS · 59 games
Neutral site2-22-2 ATS · 4 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

3,989 miles - ranked 118th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 3,989 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 03,989 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1SE LouisianaHome0 mi
Week 2Tulane126 mi252 mi
Week 3OhioHome252 mi
Week 4Kentucky547 mi1,346 mi
Week 5UL MonroeHome1,346 mi
Week 6Arkansas State383 mi2,112 mi
Week 7-Bye
Week 8Marshall626 mi3,364 mi
Week 9Louisiana TechHome3,364 mi
Week 10Louisiana232 mi3,828 mi
Week 11TroyHome3,828 mi
Week 12Southern Miss80 mi3,989 mi
Week 13App StateHome3,989 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

South Alabama Jaguars Season Outlook

Offense shows promise behind Bishop Davenport

South Alabama's offense looked sharp in the season opener, a 39-14 win over Southeastern Louisiana. Quarterback Bishop Davenport completed 18 of 27 passes for 154 yards and a touchdown, adding a 2-yard rushing score, and the Jaguars piled up 241 rushing yards and three touchdowns on the ground. PJ Martin led the way with 69 yards on 18 carries, while Brendan Jenkins caught a 26-yard touchdown pass on the game's opening drive. The offensive line, which returned just one starter but added transfer experience, held up well. Davenport, who completed 68% of his passes last season, looks comfortable in Major Applewhite's system, and the receiving corps, featuring Jenkins, Anthony Eager, and gadget threat Micah Woods, gives him reliable targets. This unit should continue to be the team's strength.

Rebuilt defense passes first test, but questions remain

The Jaguars' defense, overhauled under new coordinator Todd Orlando, allowed just 14 points in the opener, but the competition was an FCS opponent. South Alabama lost All-Sun Belt corner Nehemiah Chandler to Florida State, several defensive linemen to the portal, and key contributors at linebacker and safety. The front seven now relies on FCS transfers like Mase Lewis and Dylan Chiedo, while the secondary features unproven safeties Cole Blaylock and Dallas Young. The Jaguars did intercept two passes against Southeastern Louisiana, but they also gave up 186 passing yards and two touchdowns. The real test comes against Tulane, a more talented offense, and the defense's ability to hold up against FBS competition remains the biggest unknown of the season.

Special teams provide a reliable edge

Kicker Davis Little was perfect in the opener, making all three of his field goal attempts, including a 26-yarder, and the punting game, led by Aleksi Pulkkinen, who averaged 40.4 yards per punt last season, looks solid. Keenan Phillips is expected to handle kick returns after returning three kicks last year. In a season where the defense is rebuilding and the offense is still finding its rhythm, reliable special teams play can be a difference-maker in close games. Little's performance in Week 1 suggests he has locked down the kicking job, and the Jaguars should have an edge in the kicking game most weeks.

Year 3 under Applewhite is a pivotal one

Head coach Major Applewhite is in his third season at South Alabama, with an 11-14 record over his first two years. After a 7-6 bowl-winning debut, the Jaguars slipped to 4-8 last season, and this year's roster has undergone significant turnover, especially on defense. The offense, with Davenport back and a solid supporting cast, is expected to improve, but the defense's rebuild leaves many questions. The opener was a positive step, but the schedule gets tougher with a road game at Tulane in Week 2. Applewhite's ability to mold this new-look roster into a competitive Sun Belt team will define his tenure, and the next few weeks will reveal whether the Jaguars can exceed expectations or face another challenging season.

Road test at Tulane will reveal true progress

South Alabama's Week 2 matchup at Tulane, where they are a 9.5-point underdog, will be a significant early-season measuring stick. The Jaguars have not faced an FBS opponent yet, and Tulane, despite an 0-1 start, is a more talented and physical team than Southeastern Louisiana. The offense will need to maintain its efficiency against a stiffer defense, while the rebuilt defense will face its first real challenge. A competitive showing, even in a loss, would signal that the Jaguars are on the right track. A blowout loss, however, would raise concerns about the defense's readiness for Sun Belt play. This game will set the tone for the rest of the season and provide a clearer picture of where South Alabama stands.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is South Alabama Jaguars's against-the-spread record in 2026?

South Alabama Jaguars is 1-0 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.

What is South Alabama Jaguars's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

South Alabama Jaguars holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -10.2, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is South Alabama Jaguars's home field advantage rating?

South Alabama Jaguars's home field advantage rating is 2.4 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is South Alabama Jaguars's 2026 win total?

South Alabama Jaguars's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 5.5 wins, priced at -150 over and +115 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does South Alabama Jaguars travel in 2026?

South Alabama Jaguars travels 3,989 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 118th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

South Alabama Jaguars: 1-0 overall, 1-0 ATS, power rating -10.2 (2026 records).