South Alabama Jaguars is 1-0 on the season, 1-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -10.2. South Alabama Jaguars enters the season with a power rating of -10.2, placing them below average relative to the FBS midpoint. The South Alabama Jaguars head to Tulane next in Week 2. In 2025, South Alabama Jaguars went 4-8 overall, 5-7 against the spread, and 8-4 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the South Alabama Jaguars Power Rating of -10.2 is 10.2 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. South Alabama Jaguars have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 3,989 miles, ranking 118th heaviest in the FBS.
Bishop Davenport QB, Keenan Phillips RB, PJ Martin RB, Anthony Eager WR, Brendan Jenkins WR, Micah Woods WR
Emmanuel Waller DL, Stephen Johnson DL, Mase Lewis DE, Dylan Chiedo EDGE, Tirrell Johnson LB, Caleb Dozier LB, Jayvon Henderson CB, Cole Blaylock S, Dallas Young S
Davis Little K, Aleksi Pulkkinen P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Week 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Week 3 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Week 4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Week 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Week 6 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 4-2 |
| Week 8 | 1-6 | 2-5 | 4-3 |
| Week 9 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 5-3 |
| Week 10 | 2-7 | 3-6 | 6-3 |
| Week 12 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 6-4 |
| Week 13 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 7-4 |
| Week 14 | 4-8 | 5-7 | 8-4 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -10.8 in the preseason and finished -10.2 after week 2, a move of +0.6 points. High -10.2 (week 2), low -11.3 (week 1).
PreW2
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.4 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| SE Louisiana | 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Tulane | 3 | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Ohio | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| UL Monroe | 10 | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Arkansas State | 10 | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Marshall | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Louisiana Tech | 3 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Louisiana | 10 | 2-8 | 4-6 |
| Troy | 10 | 2-8 | 3-7 |
| Southern Miss | 6 | 6-0 | 4-2 |
| App State | 4 | 1-3 | 2-2 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Kentucky.
Week 03,989 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | SE Louisiana | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Tulane | 126 mi | 252 mi |
| Week 3 | Ohio | Home | 252 mi |
| Week 4 | Kentucky | 547 mi | 1,346 mi |
| Week 5 | UL Monroe | Home | 1,346 mi |
| Week 6 | Arkansas State | 383 mi | 2,112 mi |
| Week 7 | - | Bye | |
| Week 8 | Marshall | 626 mi | 3,364 mi |
| Week 9 | Louisiana Tech | Home | 3,364 mi |
| Week 10 | Louisiana | 232 mi | 3,828 mi |
| Week 11 | Troy | Home | 3,828 mi |
| Week 12 | Southern Miss | 80 mi | 3,989 mi |
| Week 13 | App State | Home | 3,989 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
South Alabama's offense looked sharp in the season opener, a 39-14 win over Southeastern Louisiana. Quarterback Bishop Davenport completed 18 of 27 passes for 154 yards and a touchdown, adding a 2-yard rushing score, and the Jaguars piled up 241 rushing yards and three touchdowns on the ground. PJ Martin led the way with 69 yards on 18 carries, while Brendan Jenkins caught a 26-yard touchdown pass on the game's opening drive. The offensive line, which returned just one starter but added transfer experience, held up well. Davenport, who completed 68% of his passes last season, looks comfortable in Major Applewhite's system, and the receiving corps, featuring Jenkins, Anthony Eager, and gadget threat Micah Woods, gives him reliable targets. This unit should continue to be the team's strength.
The Jaguars' defense, overhauled under new coordinator Todd Orlando, allowed just 14 points in the opener, but the competition was an FCS opponent. South Alabama lost All-Sun Belt corner Nehemiah Chandler to Florida State, several defensive linemen to the portal, and key contributors at linebacker and safety. The front seven now relies on FCS transfers like Mase Lewis and Dylan Chiedo, while the secondary features unproven safeties Cole Blaylock and Dallas Young. The Jaguars did intercept two passes against Southeastern Louisiana, but they also gave up 186 passing yards and two touchdowns. The real test comes against Tulane, a more talented offense, and the defense's ability to hold up against FBS competition remains the biggest unknown of the season.
Kicker Davis Little was perfect in the opener, making all three of his field goal attempts, including a 26-yarder, and the punting game, led by Aleksi Pulkkinen, who averaged 40.4 yards per punt last season, looks solid. Keenan Phillips is expected to handle kick returns after returning three kicks last year. In a season where the defense is rebuilding and the offense is still finding its rhythm, reliable special teams play can be a difference-maker in close games. Little's performance in Week 1 suggests he has locked down the kicking job, and the Jaguars should have an edge in the kicking game most weeks.
Head coach Major Applewhite is in his third season at South Alabama, with an 11-14 record over his first two years. After a 7-6 bowl-winning debut, the Jaguars slipped to 4-8 last season, and this year's roster has undergone significant turnover, especially on defense. The offense, with Davenport back and a solid supporting cast, is expected to improve, but the defense's rebuild leaves many questions. The opener was a positive step, but the schedule gets tougher with a road game at Tulane in Week 2. Applewhite's ability to mold this new-look roster into a competitive Sun Belt team will define his tenure, and the next few weeks will reveal whether the Jaguars can exceed expectations or face another challenging season.
South Alabama's Week 2 matchup at Tulane, where they are a 9.5-point underdog, will be a significant early-season measuring stick. The Jaguars have not faced an FBS opponent yet, and Tulane, despite an 0-1 start, is a more talented and physical team than Southeastern Louisiana. The offense will need to maintain its efficiency against a stiffer defense, while the rebuilt defense will face its first real challenge. A competitive showing, even in a loss, would signal that the Jaguars are on the right track. A blowout loss, however, would raise concerns about the defense's readiness for Sun Belt play. This game will set the tone for the rest of the season and provide a clearer picture of where South Alabama stands.
South Alabama Jaguars is 1-0 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.
South Alabama Jaguars holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -10.2, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
South Alabama Jaguars's home field advantage rating is 2.4 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
South Alabama Jaguars's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 5.5 wins, priced at -150 over and +115 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
South Alabama Jaguars travels 3,989 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 118th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
South Alabama Jaguars: 1-0 overall, 1-0 ATS, power rating -10.2 (2026 records).