Week 6October 08, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
0-0
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -10.6
@
0-0
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -8.3

By · Last updated

Arkansas State (power rating: -8.3) holds a 2.3-point edge over South Alabama (-10.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Arkansas State's home field adds 2.5 points to that edge at Centennial Bank Stadium. See Line Value below.

General Information

Week: Week 6
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:30 PM CDT
Stadium: Centennial Bank Stadium
Capacity: 16,343
Elevation: 302 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Arkansas State -2.3

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Arkansas State +2.3
Implied value
Current line - edit to adjust
Arkansas State perspective
Power ratings - edit to adjust
South Alabama
Arkansas State
Home field: Centennial Bank Stadium
Weather: Clear
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Does weather affect South Alabama vs Arkansas State at Centennial Bank Stadium?

Game-time forecast at Centennial Bank Stadium shows Clear, 85.1°F, Heat Index 89.8°F with winds of 12.1 mph. Gusts reaching 24.8 mph add unpredictability to the passing game. The weather adjustment has been pre-filled in the Line Value Calculator above, adjust manually if conditions change before kick-off.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: July 25, 2026
Clear

Clear

85.1°F

Heat Index: 89.8°F
Wind: 12.1 mph SSW
Gusts: 24.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 59%
Rain Chance: 4%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

South Alabama (Away)

This Week: 382.8 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1729.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 5

Arkansas State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 792.6 miles
Season Total: 1799.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 5

What do the matchup numbers say?

South Alabama travels 383 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Does weather affect this game at Centennial Bank Stadium?

Gusts reaching 24.8 mph add unpredictability to the passing game.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do South Alabama and Arkansas State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Arkansas State (-8.3) over South Alabama (-10.6) by 2.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Arkansas State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip Analytics rates Arkansas State as the stronger team by 2.3 points on a neutral field; apply HFA and travel context before finalising a line read.