UL Monroe Warhawks

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UL Monroe Warhawks is 0-6 on the season, 1-5 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -26.6. UL Monroe Warhawks is covering at just 29% since the start of last season (5-12), below the FBS average, a notable trend for spread bettors. The UL Monroe Warhawks head to Troy next in Week 8.

Conference: Sun Belt Conference
Stadium: Malone Stadium, Monroe, LA
Power Rating (most current): -26.6
HFA Rating:3.3 pts
2026 Win Total:3.5
2026 Record: 0-6
2026 ATS: 1-5
2026 O/U: 4-2

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 7 of 2026 the UL Monroe Warhawks Power Rating of -26.6 is 26.6 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. UL Monroe Warhawks have logged 1,549 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 4,046 miles, ranking 117th heaviest in the FBS.

UL Monroe Warhawks Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachBryant Vincent
Tenure2 seasons
Record at school8-16
Career record15-22 (3 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorJesse Montalto
Defensive coordinatorTroy Reffett

Offense

Aidan Armenta QB, Nic Trujillo WR, Bryce Anderson TE, Donald Chaney Jr. RB, AJ Vinson OL

Defense

Noah Flemmings LB, Marcus Ross LB, Armoni Rue CB

Special teams

Max Larson K, Jacob Chambless K, Abram Murray K, Makenzie Ryan P

2025 Season in Review

Record3-9 ATS4-7 O/U6-5
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-00-00-0
Week 21-10-11-0
Week 42-11-12-0
Week 53-12-12-1
Week 63-22-23-1
Week 73-32-33-2
Week 83-42-44-2
Week 93-52-55-2
Week 103-62-65-3
Week 123-72-75-4
Week 133-83-75-5
Week 143-94-76-5

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened -19.4 in the preseason and finished -26.6 after week 8, a move of -7.3 points. High -19.4 (the preseason), low -26.6 (week 8).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from -19.4 to -26.6.

PreW8

UL Monroe Warhawks SP+ Profile

Offence+14.3130 of 138higher is better
Defence+37.9132 of 138lower is better
Special teams-0.7136 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±3.4 pts
HFA measured+6.0 pts
HFA applied+3.3 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of +6.0 is regressed to +3.3 before it is applied, a difference of 2.7 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
UAB11-01-0
SE Louisiana11-00-1
South Alabama104-64-6
Troy62-42-4
Southern Miss62-42-4
Arkansas State101-91-9
Louisiana102-85-5
App State61-54-2
Marshall10-11-0

No meeting on record since 2016: Mississippi State, Florida Atlantic, Louisiana Tech.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home27-2723-31 ATS · 54 games
On the road10-5426-37-1 ATS · 64 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

4,046 miles - ranked 117th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 4,046 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 04,046 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Mississippi State200 mi401 mi
Week 2UAB313 mi1,027 mi
Week 3SE LouisianaHome1,027 mi
Week 4Florida AtlanticHome1,027 mi
Week 5South Alabama261 mi1,549 mi
Week 6-Bye
Week 7Louisiana TechHome1,549 mi
Week 8Troy362 mi2,272 mi
Week 9Southern MissHome2,272 mi
Week 10Arkansas State242 mi2,757 mi
Week 11LouisianaHome2,757 mi
Week 12App State645 mi4,046 mi
Week 13MarshallHome4,046 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

UL Monroe Warhawks Season Outlook

Winless skid reaches 13 as defensive woes persist

UL Monroe is 0-6 and has not won since September 27, 2025, a 13-game slide. The defense has been the main culprit, allowing at least 38 points in every game and giving up 52 to South Alabama in the Sun Belt opener. The secondary, rebuilt with four new starters including junior-college transfer Armoni Rue, has been repeatedly beaten deep: Mississippi State's Kamario Taylor threw for 354 yards and four touchdowns, UAB's Ryder Burton found EJ Reid for a 43-yard go-ahead score, and South Alabama's Jared Hollins threw for 321 yards and three scores. The Warhawks have allowed 222.3 passing yards per game last season and have not improved in 2025.

Offensive line and run game show signs of life after brutal start

The rebuilt offensive line, which replaced four of five starters, struggled mightily in the first two games, managing just 278 total yards against Mississippi State and failing to establish the run. But the unit settled in enough to produce a season-best 93 rushing yards from Austin Carlisle at UAB, and the Warhawks scored a season-high 35 points against SE Louisiana. The return of tackle AJ Vinson has been crucial, and the emergence of Carlisle as a running threat (93 yards on 17 carries at UAB) gives the offense a dimension it lacked early. However, the line still must prove it can hold up against stronger fronts like South Alabama and Louisiana Tech.

Quarterback carousel and turnover issues plague offense

UL Monroe has rotated between Aidan Armenta and Austin Carlisle at quarterback, with mixed results. Armenta, the returning starter, threw for 355 yards and two touchdowns against South Alabama but also tossed an interception. Carlisle started against SE Louisiana and threw two touchdown passes but also lost a fumble and was intercepted twice, leading to his benching. The turnover problems have been costly: Carlisle's pick-six against SE Louisiana and his interception at UAB set up opponents' scores. The Warhawks have yet to find consistent quarterback play, and the offense remains one-dimensional when the run game stalls.

Late-game collapses and inability to close out competitive games

A recurring theme under head coach Bryant Vincent has been the team's failure to finish. ULM led UAB 17-10 at halftime and 20-17 in the fourth quarter before an interception led to UAB's go-ahead field goal. Against SE Louisiana, the Warhawks fell behind 31-13 in the third quarter and could not complete the comeback despite a late touchdown. The pattern of competing for three quarters and then faltering has been evident all season, and it is a major reason the team remains winless. The Warhawks have been outscored 107-48 in the second half of their last three games.

Roster overhaul and lack of continuity remain a drag

UL Monroe added more than 20 junior-college players and another 20 transfer portal additions in the offseason, creating a roster with limited cohesion. The results have been predictable: blowout losses to Mississippi State and Florida Atlantic, a late collapse at UAB, and a home loss to FCS SE Louisiana. The Warhawks have struggled to establish an identity on either side of the ball, and the lack of continuity has shown up in missed assignments and communication breakdowns, particularly in the secondary. With the season already lost, the focus shifts to building for the future and evaluating which of these newcomers can be foundational pieces.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is UL Monroe Warhawks's against-the-spread record in 2026?

UL Monroe Warhawks is 1-5 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 17% of games.

What is UL Monroe Warhawks's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

UL Monroe Warhawks holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -26.6, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is UL Monroe Warhawks's home field advantage rating?

UL Monroe Warhawks's home field advantage rating is 3.3 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is UL Monroe Warhawks's 2026 win total?

UL Monroe Warhawks's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 3.5 wins, priced at -115 over and -115 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does UL Monroe Warhawks travel in 2026?

UL Monroe Warhawks travels 4,046 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 117th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

UL Monroe Warhawks: 0-6 overall, 1-5 ATS, power rating -26.6 (2026 records).