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Week 11 •
Hancock Whitney Stadium

Troy @ South Alabama

0-0 Sun Belt Power rating: -7.1
0-0 Sun Belt Power rating: -10.8

By · Last updated

Is there value in the Troy vs South Alabama line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
TROY -1.3
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors TROYfavors USA ▸
‹ 3.7 TROY
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
USA
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 TROY1 USA2 TROY2 USAModel: TROY -1.3

Troy (power rating: -7.1) carries a 3.7-point advantage over South Alabama (-10.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. South Alabama's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4) narrows that gap at Hancock Whitney Stadium. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Troy vs South Alabama at Hancock Whitney Stadium?

The latest reading for Hancock Whitney Stadium shows Overcast, 77°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Troy and South Alabama compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Troy (-7.1) over South Alabama (-10.8) by 3.7 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, South Alabama faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. South Alabama brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Troy and South Alabama?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this Troy -1.3. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Overcast

77°F

Rain25%
Precip0.00"
Humidity93%
Wind4 mph SSE
Gusts13 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Troy at South Alabama: aerial view of Hancock Whitney Stadium, wind from the SSE at 4.3 mph, gusting to 13 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
11:00 PM CST
Venue
Hancock Whitney Stadium
Capacity
25,450
Elevation
197 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

TroyAway South AlabamaHome
This week153 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game464 miles
Season total6,506 miles3,828 miles
Body clock23:0023:00
Rest7 days7 days

Troy travels 153 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

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