Week 10
Cajun Field

South Alabama @ Louisiana , Week 10, Nov 7, 2026

0-0 Sun Belt Power rating: -10.8
0-0 Sun Belt Power rating: -8.9

Is there value in the South Alabama vs Louisiana line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
UL -5.2
Edge
No line posted
See details
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1 USA1 UL2 USA2 UL3 USA3 ULModel: UL -5.2

Louisiana (power rating: -8.9) holds a 1.9-point advantage over South Alabama (-10.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Louisiana's home field adds 2.8 points to that advantage at Cajun Field. Beyond home field, the model charges Louisiana's bye week, with a slighter reading for the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect South Alabama vs Louisiana at Cajun Field?

The latest reading for Cajun Field shows Patchy rain nearby, 77°F with winds of 14 mph. Gusts reaching 27 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do South Alabama and Louisiana compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Louisiana (-8.9) over South Alabama (-10.8) by 1.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Louisiana brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Louisiana -5.2. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Patchy rain nearby

77°F

Rain29%
Precip0.00"
Humidity89%
Wind14 mph ENE
Gusts27 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for South Alabama at Louisiana: aerial view of Cajun Field, wind from the ENE at 14.3 mph, gusting to 26.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
11:00 PM CST
Venue
Cajun Field
Capacity
30,000
Elevation
62 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure South AlabamaAway LouisianaHome
This week232 miles2 miles
Last weekHome gameBye week
Season total3,596 miles5,285 miles
Body clock23:0023:00
Rest7 days14 days

South Alabama travels 232 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.