DraftKings · as of August 22, 2026
Ole Miss (power rating: 20.2) holds a 3.4-point advantage over LSU (16.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Ole Miss's home field adds 2.5 points to that advantage at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. The market line is Ole Miss -1.5 and our model shows Ole Miss -5.9; Strong model lean toward Ole Miss. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Vaught-Hemingway Stadium shows Clear, 75°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price Ole Miss as 54% favorites to beat LSU (44%). That implies a market-derived spread of Ole Miss -1.3, in line with the bookmaker line of Ole Miss -1.5. The Blue Chip model makes it Ole Miss -5.9, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Clear
75°F
| Measure | LSUAway | Ole MissHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 289 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | Home game |
| Season total | 289 miles | 399 miles |
| Body clock | 18:30 | 18:30 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
LSU travels 289 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.
