Week 13 • November 28, 2026, 05:00 AM UTC
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American
Power Rank: -15.0
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American
Power Rank: -4.3

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North Texas (power rating: -4.3) holds a 10.7-point edge over UAB (-15.0) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. North Texas's home field adds 2.8 points to that edge at DATCU Stadium. See Line Value below.

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 PM CST
Stadium: DATCU Stadium
Capacity: 30,100
Elevation: 676 ft
HFA Rating: 2.8
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line North Texas -10.7

Line Value Calculator

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UAB
North Texas
Home field — DATCU Stadium
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Does weather affect UAB vs North Texas at DATCU Stadium?

Game-time forecast at DATCU Stadium shows Partly Cloudy — 75.7°F, Feels Like 65.3°F with winds of 5.8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. The weather adjustment has been pre-filled in the Line Value Calculator above — adjust manually if conditions change before kick-off.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: July 05, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

75.7°F

Feels Like: 65.3°F
Wind: 5.8 mph S
Gusts: 10.5 mph
Precipitation: 0.03"
Humidity: 74%
Rain Chance: 11%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

UAB (Away)

This Week: 598.7 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 5189.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 23:00
Rest Days: 7

North Texas (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 944.1 miles
Season Total: 6266.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 23:00
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for UAB vs North Texas?

UAB: Key Factors

New coaching staff and system transition

UAB enters the season under first-year head coach Alex Mortensen, who has completely overhauled the culture after Trent Dilfer's tenure. The team is still adapting to Mortensen's offensive system and Todd Grantham's defensive scheme, which could lead to early-season growing pains, especially on the road against a Power Five opponent.

Quarterback uncertainty and offensive firepower

Ryder Burton is the clear starter after limited experience (two career starts), but he has a strong supporting cast with a deep backfield featuring Rod Robinson II, Ja'Vin Simpkins, and Bam McReynolds. The offensive line returns key pieces, but wide receiver depth is a concern if Kaleb Brown is not fully recovered from an ankle injury. The offense's ability to sustain drives and avoid turnovers will be critical.

Defensive strength up the middle

Todd Grantham's defense is anchored by a formidable interior with tackles Cam Cunningham, Chris Spencer, and Nigel Tate, plus experienced inside linebackers Muaaz Byard and Ike Esonwune. Safeties Jeremiah Jordan and Jotavian Pierce provide stability. This unit should be effective against the run, but the secondary, with corners Delvon Gulley and Darrell Sweeting, faces a tough test against Illinois' passing attack.

Adverse weather conditions

The game is forecasted to be cloudy with 65°F and 22 mph winds. Strong winds can disrupt passing games and kicking, potentially favoring a run-heavy approach. UAB's deep backfield could be an advantage in such conditions, while Burton's inexperience in windy environments may lead to inaccurate throws.

Road environment and travel factors

UAB travels 460 miles to Champaign for a non-conference road game against Illinois, which has a significant home-field advantage (2.6). The Blazers have no prior game experience this season, so this will be their first test in a hostile environment. The team's ability to handle the crowd noise and travel fatigue will be crucial.

North Texas: Key Factors

Offensive Overhaul and Run-Game Identity

North Texas returns zero starters from last year's FBS-leading offense. New head coach Neal Brown will lean on a run-heavy scheme, featuring West Virginia transfer Jahiem White and a rebuilt offensive line anchored by Georgia Southern transfer Chandler Strong. The lack of continuity and inexperience at quarterback (Chris Jimerson Jr.) could lead to early struggles against Indiana's defense.

Defensive Run-Stopping Vulnerability

The Mean Green ranked 130th nationally in run defense last season, allowing 215.7 rushing yards per game. While the secondary is strong with Baylor transfers Caden and Cameren Jenkins, the front seven remains a question mark. Indiana may exploit this weakness on the ground, especially if the weather (windy, 64°F) discourages a heavy passing attack.

Travel and Road Environment

North Texas travels 722 miles to Bloomington for its season opener, facing a hostile road environment with a venue home-field advantage of 2.3. The team has no prior game experience this season, so adjusting to travel and crowd noise will be critical. The cool, windy forecast could also affect ball security and kicking.

Special Teams Turnover

The Mean Green lost their top kicker (Kali Nguma) and key return specialists. New kicker Dominic De Freitas (App State transfer) has solid stats but must adapt to a new team and weather conditions. With a projected close game, special teams could be a deciding factor.

Coaching Transition and Scheme Continuity

Neal Brown's first game as head coach brings a new offensive philosophy, but opposing scouts expect similar schemes to last year's high-powered attack. However, the lack of returning starters and a new defensive coordinator (Matt Powledge) create uncertainty. Indiana's preparation may be aided by film of Brown's previous teams, but North Texas's personnel is largely unproven at this level.

What do the matchup numbers say?

UAB travels 599 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

How do UAB and North Texas compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour North Texas (-4.3) over UAB (-15.0) by 10.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. North Texas brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip Analytics rates North Texas as the stronger team by 10.7 points on a neutral field; apply HFA and travel context before finalising a line read.