Week 11 •
Tiger Stadium (LA)

Texas @ LSU , Week 11, Nov 14, 2026

4-0 SEC Power rating: 25.1
4-1 SEC Power rating: 21.4

Is there value in the Texas vs LSU line?

Market line
TEX -2.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
TEX -0.7
Edge
+1.8LSU
See details
◂ favors TEXfavors LSU ▸Market: TEX -2.5
‹ 3.7 TEX
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1 TEX1 LSU2 TEX2 LSU3 TEX3 LSUModel: TEX -0.7

Betting information

Spread
TEX -2.5
Total
54.5
Odds implied score
TEX 28.5 – 26.0 LSU

DraftKings · as of October 7, 2026

Texas (power rating: 25.1) carries a 3.7-point advantage over LSU (21.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. LSU's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0) narrows that gap at Tiger Stadium (LA). The market line is Texas -2.5 and our model shows Texas -0.7; Modest edge toward LSU. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Texas vs LSU at Tiger Stadium (LA)?

The latest reading for Tiger Stadium (LA) shows Clear, 75°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What do prediction markets say about Texas vs LSU?

Prediction market pricing is not yet available for this game. The bookmaker spread of Texas -2.5 sets the line for now. The Blue Chip model makes it Texas -0.7; see the line value calculator below for the full breakdown.

How do Texas and LSU compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas (25.1) over LSU (21.4) by 3.7 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, LSU faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. LSU brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Texas -0.7, 1.8 points toward LSU against the market.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

75°F

Rain12%
Precip0.00"
Humidity87%
Wind7 mph S
Gusts13 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Texas at LSU: aerial view of Tiger Stadium (LA), wind from the S at 6.5 mph, gusting to 13.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
11:00 PM CST
Venue
Tiger Stadium (LA)
Capacity
102,321
Elevation
56 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure TexasAway LSUHome
This week391 miles0 miles
Last week1,342 milesHome game
Season total3,875 miles2,612 miles
Body clock23:0023:00
Rest7 days7 days

Texas travels 391 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.