DraftKings · as of October 8, 2026
LSU (power rating: 21.4) holds a 8.7-point advantage over Mississippi State (12.7) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. LSU's home field adds 3.0 points to that advantage at Tiger Stadium (LA). The market line is LSU -12.5 and our model shows LSU -10.9; Modest edge toward Mississippi State. Beyond home field, the model also charges Mississippi State's bye week. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Tiger Stadium (LA) shows Clear, 72°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price LSU as 80% favorites to beat Mississippi State (20%). That implies a market-derived spread of LSU -9.1, a notable divergence from the bookmaker line of LSU -12.5. The Blue Chip model makes it LSU -10.9, a modest gap from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Clear
72°F
| Measure | Mississippi StateAway | LSUHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 252 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Bye week | 1,297 miles |
| Season total | 2,809 miles | 1,875 miles |
| Body clock | 11:00 | 11:00 |
| Rest | 14 days | 7 days |
Mississippi State travels 252 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.
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