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Week 12 •
Valley Children's Stadium

Colorado State @ Fresno State

2-3 Pac-12 Power rating: -11.7
4-2 Pac-12 Power rating: 1.6

By · Last updated

Is there value in the Colorado State vs Fresno State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
FRES -16.2
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors CSUfavors FRES ▸
13.3 › FRES
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
FRES
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1 CSU1 FRES2 CSU2 FRES3 CSU3 FRESModel: FRES -16.2

Fresno State (power rating: 1.6) holds a 13.3-point advantage over Colorado State (-11.7) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Fresno State's home field adds 2.5 points to that advantage at Valley Children's Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from Colorado State's trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Colorado State vs Fresno State at Valley Children's Stadium?

The latest reading for Valley Children's Stadium shows Partly Cloudy, 74°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Colorado State and Fresno State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Fresno State (1.6) over Colorado State (-11.7) by 13.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Fresno State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Colorado State and Fresno State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this Fresno State -16.2. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 18, 2026 Preliminary

Partly Cloudy

74°F

Rain4%
Precip0.00"
Humidity22%
Wind6 mph NW
Gusts10 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Colorado State at Fresno State: aerial view of Valley Children's Stadium, wind from the NW at 5.6 mph, gusting to 9.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
04:30 PM PST
Venue
Valley Children's Stadium
Capacity
30,000
Elevation
351 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Colorado StateAway Fresno StateHome
This week833 miles0 miles
Last week1,477 miles2,692 miles
Season total6,419 miles6,472 miles
Body clock17:3016:30
Rest7 days8 days

Colorado State travels 833 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Colorado State arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

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