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Week 10 •
Canvas Stadium

Boise State @ Colorado State

4-1 Pac-12 Power rating: 11.4
2-3 Pac-12 Power rating: -12.1

By · Last updated

Is there value in the Boise State vs Colorado State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
BOIS -21.1
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors BOISfavors CSU ▸
‹ 23.5 BOIS
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
CSU
no impact
no impact
CSU
no impact
1 BOIS1 CSU2 BOIS2 CSUModel: BOIS -21.1

Boise State (power rating: 11.4) carries a 23.5-point advantage over Colorado State (-12.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Colorado State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.0) narrows that gap at Canvas Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the altitude. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Boise State vs Colorado State at Canvas Stadium?

The latest reading for Canvas Stadium shows Overcast, 65°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Boise State and Colorado State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Boise State (11.4) over Colorado State (-12.1) by 23.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Colorado State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Colorado State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Boise State and Colorado State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this Boise State -21.1. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Overcast

65°F

Rain11%
Precip0.00"
Humidity44%
Wind3 mph W
Gusts3 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Boise State at Colorado State: aerial view of Canvas Stadium, wind from the W at 2.9 mph, gusting to 2.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
04:00 PM MST
Venue
Canvas Stadium
Capacity
41,000
Elevation
5,010 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Boise StateAway Colorado StateHome
This week608 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game720 miles
Season total5,840 miles4,109 miles
Body clock16:0016:00
Rest6 days7 days

Boise State travels 608 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

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