Week 5
Canvas Stadium

Oregon State @ Colorado State , Week 5, Oct 3, 2026

0-0 Pac-12 Power rating: -9.5
0-0 Pac-12 Power rating: -13.8

Is there value in the Oregon State vs Colorado State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ORST -1.0
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors ORSTfavors CSU ▸
‹ 4.3 ORST
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1 ORST1 CSU2 ORST2 CSUModel: ORST -1.0

Oregon State (power rating: -9.5) carries a 4.3-point advantage over Colorado State (-13.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Colorado State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.0) narrows that gap at Canvas Stadium. Beyond home field, the model charges the altitude at Canvas Stadium, with a slighter reading for Oregon State's trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Oregon State vs Colorado State at Canvas Stadium?

The latest reading for Canvas Stadium shows Clear, 70°F with winds of 1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Oregon State and Colorado State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Oregon State (-9.5) over Colorado State (-13.8) by 4.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Colorado State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Colorado State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Oregon State -1.0. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 22, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

70°F

Rain1%
Precip0.00"
Humidity42%
Wind1 mph E
Gusts3 mph
Wind map for Oregon State at Colorado State: aerial view of Canvas Stadium, wind from the E at 1.3 mph, gusting to 2.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
04:00 PM MDT
Venue
Canvas Stadium
Capacity
41,000
Elevation
5,010 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Oregon StateAway Colorado StateHome
This week966 miles0 miles
Last week2,530 miles1,710 miles
Season total7,168 miles1,710 miles
Body clock15:0016:00
Rest6 days7 days

Oregon State travels 966 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Oregon State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.