ESPN Bet · as of July 10, 2026
UNLV defeated Idaho State 38–31 in a one-score game. Idaho State covered by 23.5; Game went Over by 1.5. The market closed at UNLV -30.5 and the Blue Chip model made it UNLV -15.9 - a gap of 14.6 points toward Idaho State, of which 13.8 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
Quarterback Jordan Cooke threw for 380 yards and a touchdown on 30-of-50 passing, but also threw three interceptions, contributing to four total turnovers. This inconsistency will need to be addressed to improve offensive efficiency.
Idaho State led 31-24 in the fourth quarter, showing ability to score against a UNLV defense that had four interceptions. The offense demonstrated resilience, but late-game execution faltered with turnovers and a costly intentional grounding penalty.
UNLV's Jai'Den Thomas rushed for 147 yards and three touchdowns on just 10 carries, including long runs of 39 and 70 yards. The defense allowed big plays, which will be a key area to tighten up for future games.
Despite a fourth-quarter lead, Idaho State failed to close out the game due to turnovers and a critical intentional grounding penalty on a potential game-tying drive. Improving composure and decision-making in clutch moments is essential.
This game was played indoors at Allegiant Stadium in a climate-controlled environment. Weather was not a factor.
Indoor, climate controlled
~72°F
Allegiant Stadium is a domed venue. Wind, precipitation and temperature are not factors in this game.
| Measure | Idaho StateAway | UNLVHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 490 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Season opener | Season opener |
| Season total | 490 miles | 0 miles |
| Body clock | 14:00 | 13:00 |
| Rest | Season opener | Season opener |
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