Iowa State defeated Kansas State 24–21 in a nail-biter. Iowa State covered by 6.5; Game went Under by 4.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Aviva Stadium were Patchy rain possible, 65.5°F, Feels Like 65.5°F with winds of 5.6 mph. Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
65.5°F
Iowa State travels 3,891 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.
Iowa State arrives with a 6-hour body clock disadvantage.
Iowa State won by 3 in a nail-biter.
Iowa State covered the spread.
The total went Under by 4.5 points.
Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.
Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Iowa State (10.1) over Kansas State (8.1) by 2.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Kansas State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Kansas State brings a neutral home environment to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 0.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Iowa State won and Iowa State covered the spread.
