7 Final 77 0 Final 73 13 Final 59 3 Final 59 21 Final 28 38 Final 21 0 Final 55 10 Final 17 27 Final 9 20 Final 48 21 Final 44 27 Final 24 3 Final 35 15 Final 36 28 Final 24 38 Final 36 31 Final 39 7 Final 34 3 Final 87 23 Final 24 20 Final 70 7 Final 52 7 Final 45 10 Final 13 17 Final 41 10 Final 45 7 Final 35 38 Final 13 31 Final 26 14 Final 16 17 Final 28 21 Final 18 20 Final 26 7 Final 12 21 Final 52 10 Final 37 31 Final 27 45 Final 17 0 Final 52 38 Final 14 10 Final 63 6 Final 44 17 Final 34 13 Final 21 10 Final 56 7 Final 70 26 Final 35 3 Final 52 20 Final 33 27 Final 29 20 Final 38 14 Final 49 24 Final 58 23 Final 17 6 Final 77 45 Final 24 7 Final 52 24 Final 28 31 Final 17 26 Final 28 7 Final 56 28 Final 24 9 Final 45 10 Final 62 14 Final 48 9 Final 36 10 Final 28 13 Final 16 7 Final 45 30 Final 38 14 Final 45 23 Final 24 35 Final 24 7 Final 22 9 Final 41 8 Final 43 7 Final 63 3 Final 44 10 Final 51 20 Final 30 38 Final 32 10 Final 43 3 Final 49 20 Final 7 30 Final 49 19 Final 29
Week 0 •
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

Stanford20 @FINAL 23Hawai'i

0-0 ACC Power rating: -3.9
0-0 MW Power rating: -8.5

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
HAW -1.5
PM Implied
HAW -1.0
Blue Chip model
HAW -0.3
Edge
-1.2STAN
See details
◂ favors STANfavors HAW ▸Market: HAW -1.5
‹ 4.6 STAN
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
HAW
no impact
HAW
no impact
HAW
2 STAN2 HAW4 STAN4 HAWModel: HAW -0.3

Betting information

Spread
HAW -1.5
Total
53.5
Odds implied score
STAN 26.0 – 27.5 HAW
Prediction markets
HAW 55% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 10, 2026

Hawai'i defeated Stanford 23–20 in a nail-biter. Hawai'i covered by 1.5; Game went Under by 10.5. The market closed at Hawai'i -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Hawai'i -0.3, an edge of 1.2 points toward Stanford. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Stanford 4.6 points stronger on a neutral field.

What are the key factors for Stanford vs Hawai'i?

Hawai'i

Clutch Performance Under Pressure

Hawaii showed resilience, overcoming a 10-0 first-quarter deficit and a late Stanford touchdown to tie the game with 2:01 left, then driving 51 yards in the final 1:33 to set up the game-winning field goal as time expired.

Quarterback's Grit and Efficiency

Micah Alejado, despite being sacked and limping, completed 27 of 39 passes for 210 yards and two touchdowns, adding 36 rushing yards, and went 5 of 7 on the final drive, demonstrating toughness and accuracy under duress.

Special Teams and Kicking Game Decisive

Kicker Kansei Matsuzawa made all three field goal attempts (40, 37, and 38 yards), including the game-winner, while the team also benefited from a Stanford mistake on a kickoff that pinned them deep, highlighting the importance of special teams.

Historic Win Over Power Conference Opponent

This victory marked Hawaii's first win against an ACC team and their first over a power conference opponent since 2019, boosting confidence and proving they can compete with higher-tier programs.

Offensive Balance and Key Receivers

Pofele Ashlock was a reliable target with nine catches for 69 yards and a touchdown, while the offense showed balance with 210 passing yards and effective rushing, including a 19-yard TD pass to Jackson Harris, a Stanford transfer.

What were the weather conditions for Stanford vs Hawai'i?

At kickoff, conditions at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex were Patchy rain possible, 75°F with winds of 10 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Stanford travels 2,401 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

That is a westward shift of 3 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

Hawai'i won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Hawai'i covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 10.5 points.

How do Stanford and Hawai'i compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Stanford (-3.9) over Hawai'i (-8.5) by 4.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Hawai'i faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Hawai'i brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Stanford and Hawai'i?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Hawai'i won and Hawai'i covered the spread.

Conditions

as of August 23, 2025 Game-time

Patchy rain possible

75°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity71%
Wind10 mph ENE
Gusts15 mph
Wind map for Stanford at Hawai'i: aerial view of Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, wind from the ENE at 10.1 mph, gusting to 15 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 0
Kickoff (local)
01:30 PM HST
Venue
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Capacity
16,909
Elevation
75 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

StanfordAway Hawai'iHome
This week2,401 miles0 miles
Last weekSeason openerSeason opener
Season total2,401 miles-0 miles
Body clock16:3013:30
RestSeason openerSeason opener

Other games this week