Week 13 • November 28, 2026, 05:00 AM UTC
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Big 12
Power Rank: 8.4
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Big 12
Power Rank: 4.8

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Kansas (power rating: 8.4) carries a 3.6-point edge over Oklahoma State (4.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Oklahoma State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5) narrows that gap at Boone Pickens Stadium. See Line Value below.

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 PM CST
Stadium: Boone Pickens Stadium
Capacity: 52,305
Elevation: 965 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Kansas -3.6

Line Value Calculator

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Kansas
Oklahoma State
Home field — Boone Pickens Stadium
Weather: Patchy rain nearby
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Does weather affect Kansas vs Oklahoma State at Boone Pickens Stadium?

Game-time forecast at Boone Pickens Stadium shows Patchy rain nearby — 73.8°F, Feels Like 62.1°F with winds of 8.1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. The weather adjustment has been pre-filled in the Line Value Calculator above — adjust manually if conditions change before kick-off.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: July 05, 2026
Patchy rain nearby

Patchy rain nearby

73.8°F

Feels Like: 62.1°F
Wind: 8.1 mph S
Gusts: 16.3 mph
Precipitation: 0.02"
Humidity: 79%
Rain Chance: 19%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Kansas (Away)

This Week: 219.7 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 13441.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 23:00
Rest Days: 7

Oklahoma State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1729.6 miles
Season Total: 6009.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 23:00
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for Kansas vs Oklahoma State?

Kansas: Key Factors

Quarterback competition remains unresolved

Kansas enters the season with a battle between Cole Ballard and Isaiah Marshall to replace Jalon Daniels. The coaching staff has not named a starter, and the opener against LIU may be used to evaluate both. Ballard has more experience as a backup, while Marshall offers a dual-threat element. The decision will shape the offensive identity and play-calling.

Dylan Edwards provides explosive playmaking potential

The transfer running back, a Kansas native, joins his third program and is expected to be a focal point of the offense. His versatility as a runner and receiver gives Andy Kotelnicki creative options. With depth at RB from Yasin Willis and Jalen Dupree, Kansas can keep Edwards fresh and use him in space.

Defensive depth and new transfers aim to improve run defense and takeaways

Kansas struggled against the run and lacked turnovers in 2025. The addition of transfers like David Santiago (EDGE), Bam Crouch (LB), and Jibreel Al-Amin (LB) bolsters the front seven. The secondary also adds multiple transfers, including Corey Gordon and Jaden Harris, to increase depth and playmaking. This unit will be tested early against LIU's offense.

Strong home-field advantage and favorable weather conditions

Kansas plays at home with a venue HFA of 2.8, a significant edge. The forecast calls for patchy rain and 26 mph wind, which could affect passing and kicking. Kansas's run-heavy approach with Edwards and a deep RB room may be well-suited to these conditions, while LIU may struggle with the elements.

LIU is a lower-tier opponent, but Kansas must avoid complacency

Long Island University is an FCS program with no prior record or power rating. Kansas is heavily favored, but the team must execute cleanly to build momentum for a challenging upcoming schedule (Missouri, Arizona State). The opener is a chance to establish rhythm, especially for the new QB and offensive line.

Oklahoma State: Key Factors

Offensive Continuity from North Texas Transfers

The Cowboys' offense is built around a core of North Texas transfers, including QB Drew Mestemaker (4,379 passing yards last season), RB Caleb Hawkins (1,434 rushing yards, 29 TDs), and WR Wyatt Young (1,264 receiving yards). This familiarity should allow for a quick start against Tulsa, especially given the short 63-mile travel distance and no prior game fatigue.

High-Wind Conditions Favor Ground Game

The forecast calls for 26 mph winds, which will significantly impact passing accuracy and deep throws. Oklahoma State's offense, while pass-heavy by design, may need to lean on Caleb Hawkins and the running game more than usual. Tulsa's defense will likely crowd the box, testing the Cowboys' offensive line cohesion.

Defensive Uncertainty Under New Coordinator

First-year DC Skyler Cassity (32) brings a multiple-front, nickel-heavy scheme from North Texas, but the unit has no game experience together. Against Tulsa's offense, the Cowboys' secondary—led by CB Mo Horn and S Quinton Hammonds—will be tested early. The pass rush from EDGE Jaleel Johnson and James Williams must generate pressure to protect a vulnerable back end.

Special Teams Transition and Field Position Battle

Both kicker Sam Keltner (14-of-20 FG last season) and punter Lachie Pozzobon (41.8-yard average) are new to the program. In windy conditions, field position and kicking accuracy become critical. Tulsa's return game could exploit any short punts or missed kicks, making special teams a potential swing factor.

Road Opener with Low Expectations but High Motivation

Oklahoma State is coming off two winless Big 12 seasons, and new head coach Eric Morris has a chance to make an immediate statement. The short trip to Tulsa (63 miles) minimizes travel fatigue, but the Cowboys must overcome the psychological hurdle of a losing culture. A strong start could build momentum for the rest of the season.

What do the matchup numbers say?

Kansas travels 220 miles to this game, a short road trip.

How do Kansas and Oklahoma State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Kansas (8.4) over Oklahoma State (4.8) by 3.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Oklahoma State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Oklahoma State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip Analytics rates Kansas as the stronger team by 3.6 points on a neutral field; apply HFA and travel context before finalising a line read.