DraftKings · as of October 8, 2026
Houston (power rating: 11.6) holds a 8.0-point advantage over Oklahoma State (3.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Houston's home field adds 1.5 points to that advantage at TDECU Stadium. The market line is Houston -3.5 and our model shows Houston -9.8; Major model-market disagreement - verify the inputs. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for TDECU Stadium shows Clear, 80°F, heat index 86°F with winds of 9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price Houston as 60% favorites to beat Oklahoma State (40%). That implies a market-derived spread of Houston -2.8, in line with the bookmaker line of Houston -3.5. The Blue Chip model makes it Houston -9.8, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Clear
80°F
| Measure | Oklahoma StateAway | HoustonHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 452 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 1,315 miles |
| Season total | 2,507 miles | 3,900 miles |
| Body clock | 18:30 | 18:30 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
Oklahoma State travels 452 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.
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