Week 11 •
Boone Pickens Stadium

Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State , Week 11, Nov 14, 2026

5-0 Big 12 Power rating: 15.8
3-1 Big 12 Power rating: 3.6

Is there value in the Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State line?

Market line
TTU -15.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
TTU -8.6
Edge
+6.9OKST
See details
◂ favors TTUfavors OKST ▸Market: TTU -15.5
‹ 12.2 TTU
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OKST
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OKST
5 TTU5 OKSTModel: TTU -8.6

Betting information

Spread
TTU -15.5
Total
61.5
Odds implied score
TTU 38.5 – 23.0 OKST

DraftKings · as of October 7, 2026

Texas Tech (power rating: 15.8) carries a 12.2-point advantage over Oklahoma State (3.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Oklahoma State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 3.1) narrows that gap at Boone Pickens Stadium. The market line is Texas Tech -15.5 and our model shows Texas Tech -8.6; Major model-market disagreement - verify the inputs. Beyond home field, the model also charges the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State at Boone Pickens Stadium?

The latest reading for Boone Pickens Stadium shows Partly Cloudy, 82°F, heat index 85°F with winds of 17 mph. Wind of 17 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 31 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What do prediction markets say about Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State?

Prediction market pricing is not yet available for this game. The bookmaker spread of Texas Tech -15.5 sets the line for now. The Blue Chip model makes it Texas Tech -8.6; see the line value calculator below for the full breakdown.

How do Texas Tech and Oklahoma State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas Tech (15.8) over Oklahoma State (3.6) by 12.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Oklahoma State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Oklahoma State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Texas Tech -8.6, 6.9 points toward Oklahoma State against the market.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Partly Cloudy

82°F

Rain4%
Precip0.00"
Humidity59%
Wind17 mph S
Gusts31 mph
Heat index85°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Texas Tech at Oklahoma State: aerial view of Boone Pickens Stadium, wind from the S at 16.8 mph, gusting to 30.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
11:00 PM CST
Venue
Boone Pickens Stadium
Capacity
52,305
Elevation
965 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Texas TechAway Oklahoma StateHome
This week324 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game428 miles
Season total6,105 miles4,279 miles
Body clock23:0023:00
Rest7 days7 days

Texas Tech travels 324 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.