Week 4
McLane Stadium

Colorado @ Baylor , Week 4, Sep 26, 2026

0-0 Big 12 Power rating: -0.5
0-0 Big 12 Power rating: 3.1

Is there value in the Colorado vs Baylor line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
BAY -6.0
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors COLOfavors BAY ▸
3.6 › BAY
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1 COLO1 BAY2 COLO2 BAYModel: BAY -6.0

Baylor (power rating: 3.1) holds a 3.6-point advantage over Colorado (-0.5) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Baylor's home field adds 1.9 points to that advantage at McLane Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges the heat. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Colorado vs Baylor at McLane Stadium?

The latest reading for McLane Stadium shows Clear, 85°F, heat index 88°F with winds of 16 mph. Wind of 16 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 27 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Colorado and Baylor compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Baylor (3.1) over Colorado (-0.5) by 3.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Baylor brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Baylor -6.0. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 29, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

85°F

Rain6%
Precip0.00"
Humidity53%
Wind16 mph S
Gusts27 mph
Heat index88°F
Wind map for Colorado at Baylor: aerial view of McLane Stadium, wind from the S at 15.9 mph, gusting to 26.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 4
Kickoff (local)
11:00 PM CDT
Venue
McLane Stadium
Capacity
45,140
Elevation
404 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure ColoradoAway BaylorHome
This week740 miles0 miles
Last week1,857 milesHome game
Season total5,057 miles1,512 miles
Body clock22:0023:00
Rest7 days7 days

Colorado travels 740 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. Colorado arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.