Week 12 •
Nippert Stadium

Colorado @ Cincinnati , Week 12, Nov 21, 2026

2-3 Big 12 Power rating: -4.1
4-1 Big 12 Power rating: 4.1

Is there value in the Colorado vs Cincinnati line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
CIN -11.0
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors COLOfavors CIN ▸
8.2 › CIN
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1 COLO1 CIN2 COLO2 CIN3 COLO3 CINModel: CIN -11.0

Cincinnati (power rating: 4.1) holds a 8.2-point advantage over Colorado (-4.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Cincinnati's home field adds 2.8 points to that advantage at Nippert Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from Colorado's trip and the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Colorado vs Cincinnati at Nippert Stadium?

The latest reading for Nippert Stadium shows Clear, 57°F with winds of 8 mph. Gusts reaching 20 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Colorado and Cincinnati compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Cincinnati (4.1) over Colorado (-4.1) by 8.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Cincinnati brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Cincinnati -11.0. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

57°F

Rain7%
Precip0.00"
Humidity74%
Wind8 mph NNE
Gusts20 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Colorado at Cincinnati: aerial view of Nippert Stadium, wind from the NNE at 8.3 mph, gusting to 20.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EST
Venue
Nippert Stadium
Capacity
38,088
Elevation
778 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure ColoradoAway CincinnatiHome
This week1,107 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,038 miles
Season total9,117 miles6,431 miles
Body clock22:0000:00
Rest7 days7 days

Colorado travels 1,107 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Colorado arrives with a 2-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.