Arizona State (power rating: 6.4) holds a 12.7-point advantage over Hawai'i (-6.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Arizona State's home field adds 2.0 points to that advantage at Mountain America Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges Hawai'i's long trip and the heat. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Mountain America Stadium shows Clear, 91°F, heat index 92°F with winds of 9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Clear
91°F

| Measure | Hawai'iAway | Arizona StateHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 2,916 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | Home game |
| Season total | 14,369 miles | 12,412 miles |
| Body clock | 18:00 | 21:00 |
| Rest | 6 days | 7 days |
Hawai'i travels 2,916 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. A trip of this length is worth roughly two thirds of a point to the home team on the measured evidence.