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Week 11 •
FBC Mortgage Stadium

Arizona State @ UCF

0-0 Big 12 Power rating: 6.4
0-0 Big 12 Power rating: 0.6

By · Last updated

Is there value in the Arizona State vs UCF line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ASU -1.9
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors ASUfavors UCF ▸
‹ 5.8 ASU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UCF
no impact
UCF
no impact
no impact
1 ASU1 UCF2 ASU2 UCF3 ASU3 UCFModel: ASU -1.9

Arizona State (power rating: 6.4) carries a 5.8-point advantage over UCF (0.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. UCF's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2) narrows that gap at FBC Mortgage Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges Arizona State's long trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Arizona State vs UCF at FBC Mortgage Stadium?

The latest reading for FBC Mortgage Stadium shows Patchy rain nearby, 76°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Arizona State and UCF compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Arizona State (6.4) over UCF (0.6) by 5.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, UCF faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. UCF brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Arizona State and UCF?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this Arizona State -1.9. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 22, 2026 Preliminary

Patchy rain nearby

76°F

Rain46%
Precip0.01"
Humidity83%
Wind5 mph SSE
Gusts9 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Arizona State at UCF: aerial view of FBC Mortgage Stadium, wind from the SSE at 5.1 mph, gusting to 8.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EST
Venue
FBC Mortgage Stadium
Capacity
44,206
Elevation
75 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Arizona StateAway UCFHome
This week1,847 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game2,152 miles
Season total16,363 miles7,629 miles
Body clock22:0000:00
Rest7 days7 days

Arizona State travels 1,847 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. A trip of this length is worth roughly two thirds of a point to the home team on the measured evidence.