UCF (power rating: 6.0) and Arizona State (5.7) are rated essentially even on a neutral field by Blue Chip Analytics. UCF's home field advantage (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2) is the primary differentiator at FBC Mortgage Stadium. Beyond home field, the model charges Arizona State's long trip, with a slighter reading for the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for FBC Mortgage Stadium shows Partly Cloudy, 78°F with winds of 7 mph. Gusts reaching 21 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Partly Cloudy
78°F

| Measure | Arizona StateAway | UCFHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 1,847 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 2,152 miles |
| Season total | 16,363 miles | 7,629 miles |
| Body clock | 22:00 | 00:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
Arizona State travels 1,847 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. A trip of this length is worth roughly two thirds of a point to the home team on the measured evidence.