Old Dominion Monarchs

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Old Dominion Monarchs is 2-6 on the season, 1-7 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -12.6. Old Dominion Monarchs holds a power rating of -12.6, placing them in the weaker tier of the FBS and typically entering games as a significant underdog. The Old Dominion Monarchs host Marshall next in Week 9.

Conference: Sun Belt Conference
Stadium: Ballard Stadium, Norfolk, VA
Power Rating (most current): -12.6
HFA Rating:2.3 pts
2026 Win Total:7.5
2026 Record: 2-6
2026 ATS: 1-7
2026 O/U: 3-5

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 8 of 2026 the Old Dominion Monarchs Power Rating of -12.6 is 12.6 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Old Dominion Monarchs have logged 4,027 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 5,332 miles, ranking 99th heaviest in the FBS.

Old Dominion Monarchs Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachRicky Rahne
Tenure5 seasons
Record30-33
Offensive coordinatorKody Cook
Defensive coordinatorBlake Seiler

Offense

Quinn Henicle QB, Jaxon Potter QB, Devin Roche RB, JJ Harrell WR, Zion Agnew WR

Defense

Mario Easterly S, Chris Forbes DL, Montrell Chapman LB, Brandon Crutchfield CB, Lucas Struck S

Special teams

Nathanial Eichner K, Andrew Nelms K, Ian Brandt P

2025 Season in Review

Record10-3 ATS8-5 O/U5-8
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 10-11-00-1
Week 21-12-01-1
Week 32-13-02-1
Week 53-13-12-2
Week 64-14-13-2
Week 74-24-24-2
Week 84-34-35-2
Week 95-34-45-3
Week 106-35-45-4
Week 127-36-45-5
Week 138-37-45-6
Week 149-37-55-7
Postseason10-38-55-8

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +2.0 in the preseason and finished -12.6 after week 8, a move of -14.6 points. High +2.0 (the preseason), low -12.6 (week 8).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from +2.0 to -12.6.

PreW8

Old Dominion Monarchs SP+ Profile

Offence+20.2109 of 138higher is better
Defence+25.364 of 138lower is better
Special teams-0.7133 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±5.0 pts
HFA measured+1.7 pts
HFA applied+2.3 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.6 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Norfolk State11-00-1
Virginia Tech73-44-3
East Carolina40-41-3
James Madison40-41-3
Georgia State43-11-3
App State52-32-3
Georgia Southern43-13-1
Louisiana Tech11-01-0
Marshall91-84-5
Coastal Carolina42-22-2
Southern Miss22-02-0

No meeting on record since 2016: UConn.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home31-2323-30-1 ATS · 54 games
On the road17-3732-22 ATS · 54 games
Neutral site2-21-2-1 ATS · 4 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

5,332 miles - ranked 99th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 5,332 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 05,332 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Norfolk StateHome0 mi
Week 2Virginia Tech228 mi457 mi
Week 3East CarolinaHome457 mi
Week 4James MadisonHome457 mi
Week 5Georgia State506 mi1,468 mi
Week 6App State303 mi2,074 mi
Week 7Georgia SouthernHome2,074 mi
Week 8Louisiana Tech976 mi4,027 mi
Week 9MarshallHome4,027 mi
Week 10Coastal Carolina263 mi4,552 mi
Week 11-Bye
Week 12UConn390 mi5,332 mi
Week 13Southern MissHome5,332 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Old Dominion Monarchs Season Outlook

A rebuilt offense stuck in neutral

Old Dominion's 2026 offense was always going to look different after losing Sun Belt Offensive Player of the Year Colton Joseph, and the transition has been rough. The Monarchs replaced all five starters on the offensive line, and the results have been ugly: seven sacks allowed at Virginia Tech, nine against James Madison, and seven more at Georgia State. Quinn Henicle has shown flashes as a dual-threat quarterback, rushing for 68 yards in the opener and breaking off a 76-yard touchdown run at Virginia Tech, but he has been under constant duress and the passing game has yet to find a consistent downfield threat. The run game has become the identity by necessity, with Devin Roche topping 100 yards against East Carolina and App State, but when opponents load the box, the Monarchs have struggled to respond through the air. Until the line stabilizes and the receiver room (including transfers JJ Harrell and Zion Agnew) produces, this unit will remain volatile.

Defense rediscovers its havoc form at App State

The 2025 defense was among the nation's best, holding eight opponents to 10 points or fewer and finishing top 10 nationally in sacks and turnovers. That unit returned key pieces like safety Mario Easterly, lineman Chris Forbes, corner Brandon Crutchfield, and safety Lucas Struck, but through the first five games it looked nothing like last year's version, allowing 44 points to Virginia Tech, 46 to James Madison, and 42 to Georgia State. Then came the breakthrough: a 10-3 win at App State in which the Monarchs held the Mountaineers to 158 total yards and forced three turnovers, with Crutchfield sealing it on an interception. That performance is the blueprint. If Old Dominion can sustain that level of pressure and takeaway production, the defense can still be the team's floor.

Special teams and field position: a mixed bag

Kicker Nathanial Eichner took over in November 2025 and finished 7-for-10 on field goals and perfect on extra points, and he has held the job despite competition from FAU transfer Andrew Nelms. Punter Ian Brandt returns but averaged just under 41 yards last season, which was on the low end in the Sun Belt. The return game is a strength: Devin Roche led the conference in punt return average in 2025 and has added kickoff return duties. In a season where the offense has sputtered, flipping field position and stealing points on special teams becomes even more critical.

Coaching staff under pressure to adjust

Head coach Ricky Rahne, now in his sixth year with a 30-33 record, guided the Monarchs to a historic 2025 campaign but faces a rebuild after heavy portal losses. Offensive coordinator Kody Cook and defensive coordinator Blake Seiler have had to integrate new starters at nearly every position group. The staff's ability to scheme around a leaky offensive line and a passing game that has yet to click will determine whether Old Dominion can string together wins. The short week against Georgia Southern (five days after a physical App State game) tested depth and preparation, and the upcoming stretch will demand more creativity and discipline.

What to watch: can the App State formula travel?

The Monarchs are 2-5 and 1-6 against the spread, but the win at App State showed what this team can be when the defense dominates and the run game controls tempo. The remaining schedule offers opportunities, but the offense must prove it can move the ball against defenses that stack the box. Quinn Henicle's health and workload are critical; he carried 26 times against the Mountaineers and has been sacked 23 times in five games. If the line can improve even marginally and the passing game finds a reliable target, Old Dominion has a path to a second consecutive bowl game. If not, the defense will have to carry an even heavier load.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Old Dominion Monarchs's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Old Dominion Monarchs is 1-7 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 12% of games.

What is Old Dominion Monarchs's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Old Dominion Monarchs holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -12.6, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Old Dominion Monarchs's home field advantage rating?

Old Dominion Monarchs's home field advantage rating is 2.3 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Old Dominion Monarchs's 2026 win total?

Old Dominion Monarchs's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -120 over and -110 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Old Dominion Monarchs travel in 2026?

Old Dominion Monarchs travels 5,332 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 99th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Old Dominion Monarchs: 2-6 overall, 1-7 ATS, power rating -12.6 (2026 records).