Old Dominion Monarchs is 1-0 on the season, 0-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +0.1. Old Dominion Monarchs enters the season with a power rating of +0.1, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Old Dominion Monarchs head to Virginia Tech next in Week 2. In 2025, Old Dominion Monarchs went 10-3 overall, 8-5 against the spread, and 5-8 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Old Dominion Monarchs Power Rating of +0.1 is 0.1 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Old Dominion Monarchs have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 5,332 miles, ranking 99th heaviest in the FBS.
Quinn Henicle QB, Jaxon Potter QB, Devin Roche RB, JJ Harrell WR, Zion Agnew WR
Mario Easterly S, Chris Forbes DL, Montrell Chapman LB, Brandon Crutchfield CB, Lucas Struck S
Nathanial Eichner K, Andrew Nelms K, Ian Brandt P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Week 3 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| Week 5 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Week 6 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Week 7 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Week 8 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 5-2 |
| Week 9 | 5-3 | 4-4 | 5-3 |
| Week 10 | 6-3 | 5-4 | 5-4 |
| Week 12 | 7-3 | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Week 13 | 8-3 | 7-4 | 5-6 |
| Week 14 | 9-3 | 7-5 | 5-7 |
| Postseason | 10-3 | 8-5 | 5-8 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -0.1 in the preseason and finished +6.3 after the postseason, a move of +6.4 points. High +6.3 (the postseason), low -0.1 (the preseason).
PrePost
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.6 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norfolk State | 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Virginia Tech | 7 | 3-4 | 4-3 |
| East Carolina | 4 | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| James Madison | 4 | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Georgia State | 4 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| App State | 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Georgia Southern | 4 | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Louisiana Tech | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Marshall | 9 | 1-8 | 4-5 |
| Coastal Carolina | 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Southern Miss | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
No meeting on record since 2016: UConn.
Week 05,332 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Norfolk State | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Virginia Tech | 228 mi | 457 mi |
| Week 3 | East Carolina | Home | 457 mi |
| Week 4 | James Madison | Home | 457 mi |
| Week 5 | Georgia State | 506 mi | 1,468 mi |
| Week 6 | App State | 303 mi | 2,074 mi |
| Week 7 | Georgia Southern | Home | 2,074 mi |
| Week 8 | Louisiana Tech | 976 mi | 4,027 mi |
| Week 9 | Marshall | Home | 4,027 mi |
| Week 10 | Coastal Carolina | 263 mi | 4,552 mi |
| Week 11 | - | Bye | |
| Week 12 | UConn | 390 mi | 5,332 mi |
| Week 13 | Southern Miss | Home | 5,332 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
The Monarchs enter 2026 without Colton Joseph, the Sun Belt Offensive Player of the Year who transferred to Wisconsin. Quinn Henicle, who started the Cure Bowl win over South Florida and rushed for over 100 yards in that game, is the presumed starter. Washington State transfer Jaxon Potter provides experienced competition, but Henicle's familiarity with the system gives him the edge. The offense will rely on his dual-threat ability to replace Joseph's production.
Old Dominion's defense was dominant in 2025, holding eight opponents to 10 points or fewer and allowing just 57 points during a six-game winning streak. Key pieces return at every level, including All-Sun Belt safety Mario Easterly, the team's top tackler, and defensive lineman Chris Forbes. The secondary is bolstered by cornerback Brandon Crutchfield and safety Lucas Struck, both of whom impressed opposing coaches on film. The biggest question is at linebacker, where Mississippi State transfer Montrell Chapman steps in to fill the void left by departures.
The offensive line will feature five new starters, a significant challenge for a team that relied on a strong running game. Head coach Ricky Rahne's offenses have consistently run the ball at an above-average rate, and that trend should continue with Devin Roche, who also led the Sun Belt in punt return average last season. The receiver corps is being reshaped with junior college transfer JJ Harrell and Division II transfer Zion Agnew, following Rahne's successful track record of finding hidden gems at the position.
Nathanial Eichner took over kicking duties in November and converted 7 of 10 field goals and all 19 extra points. He will face competition from FAU transfer Andrew Nelms. Punter Ian Brandt returns after averaging just under 41 yards per punt, which was near the bottom of the Sun Belt. Devin Roche is expanding his role to include kickoff returns, adding another dimension to a special teams unit that could be a difference-maker in close games.
The defense gives Old Dominion a high floor, and Henicle's mobility could make the offense serviceable even with the losses. The schedule opens with a home game against Norfolk State, a heavy underdog, which should allow the team to build confidence. However, the combination of a rebuilt offensive line, new receivers, and a first-year starter at quarterback means the Monarchs may struggle to replicate their historic 2025 campaign. A bowl game is a realistic goal, but matching last season's success will require the new pieces to gel quickly.
Old Dominion Monarchs is 0-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 0% of games.
Old Dominion Monarchs holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +0.1, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Old Dominion Monarchs's home field advantage rating is 2.3 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Old Dominion Monarchs's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -120 over and -110 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Old Dominion Monarchs travels 5,332 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 99th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Old Dominion Monarchs: 1-0 overall, 0-1 ATS, power rating +0.1 (2026 records).