26
Final
23
38
Final
61
13
Final
20
30
Final
24
34
Final
6
31
Final
34
34
Final
41
16
Final
35
19
Final
16
38
Final
35
14
Final
28
28
Final
31
38
Final
45
14
Final
42
24
Final
20
13
Final
6
20
Final
59
49
Final
51
23
Final
52
24
Final
37
38
Final
17
24
Final
25
28
Final
27
20
Final
35
10
Final
21
24
Final
27
56
Final
21
31
Final
39
24
Final
31
20
Final
31
49
Final
39
10
Final
13
23
Final
15
10
Final
28
17
Final
34
49
Final
27
17
Final
28
20
Final
24
21
Final
14
13
Final
28
31
Final
35
0
Final
26
31
Final
10
49
Final
56
20
Final
16
24
Final
57
32
Final
38
3
Final
39
17
Final
20
7
Final
24
27
Final
34
17
Final
34
31
Final
30
42
Final
19
16
Final
21
13
Final
21
Old Dominion Monarchs is 2-6 on the season, 1-7 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -12.6. Old Dominion Monarchs holds a power rating of -12.6, placing them in the weaker tier of the FBS and typically entering games as a significant underdog. The Old Dominion Monarchs host Marshall next in Week 9.
In Week 8 of 2026 the Old Dominion Monarchs Power Rating of -12.6 is 12.6 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Old Dominion Monarchs have logged 4,027 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 5,332 miles, ranking 99th heaviest in the FBS.
Quinn Henicle QB, Jaxon Potter QB, Devin Roche RB, JJ Harrell WR, Zion Agnew WR
Mario Easterly S, Chris Forbes DL, Montrell Chapman LB, Brandon Crutchfield CB, Lucas Struck S
Nathanial Eichner K, Andrew Nelms K, Ian Brandt P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Week 3 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| Week 5 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Week 6 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Week 7 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Week 8 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 5-2 |
| Week 9 | 5-3 | 4-4 | 5-3 |
| Week 10 | 6-3 | 5-4 | 5-4 |
| Week 12 | 7-3 | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Week 13 | 8-3 | 7-4 | 5-6 |
| Week 14 | 9-3 | 7-5 | 5-7 |
| Postseason | 10-3 | 8-5 | 5-8 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +2.0 in the preseason and finished -12.6 after week 8, a move of -14.6 points. High +2.0 (the preseason), low -12.6 (week 8).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.6 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norfolk State | 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Virginia Tech | 7 | 3-4 | 4-3 |
| East Carolina | 4 | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| James Madison | 4 | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Georgia State | 4 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| App State | 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Georgia Southern | 4 | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Louisiana Tech | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Marshall | 9 | 1-8 | 4-5 |
| Coastal Carolina | 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Southern Miss | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
No meeting on record since 2016: UConn.
Week 05,332 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Norfolk State | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Virginia Tech | 228 mi | 457 mi |
| Week 3 | East Carolina | Home | 457 mi |
| Week 4 | James Madison | Home | 457 mi |
| Week 5 | Georgia State | 506 mi | 1,468 mi |
| Week 6 | App State | 303 mi | 2,074 mi |
| Week 7 | Georgia Southern | Home | 2,074 mi |
| Week 8 | Louisiana Tech | 976 mi | 4,027 mi |
| Week 9 | Marshall | Home | 4,027 mi |
| Week 10 | Coastal Carolina | 263 mi | 4,552 mi |
| Week 11 | - | Bye | |
| Week 12 | UConn | 390 mi | 5,332 mi |
| Week 13 | Southern Miss | Home | 5,332 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Old Dominion's 2026 offense was always going to look different after losing Sun Belt Offensive Player of the Year Colton Joseph, and the transition has been rough. The Monarchs replaced all five starters on the offensive line, and the results have been ugly: seven sacks allowed at Virginia Tech, nine against James Madison, and seven more at Georgia State. Quinn Henicle has shown flashes as a dual-threat quarterback, rushing for 68 yards in the opener and breaking off a 76-yard touchdown run at Virginia Tech, but he has been under constant duress and the passing game has yet to find a consistent downfield threat. The run game has become the identity by necessity, with Devin Roche topping 100 yards against East Carolina and App State, but when opponents load the box, the Monarchs have struggled to respond through the air. Until the line stabilizes and the receiver room (including transfers JJ Harrell and Zion Agnew) produces, this unit will remain volatile.
The 2025 defense was among the nation's best, holding eight opponents to 10 points or fewer and finishing top 10 nationally in sacks and turnovers. That unit returned key pieces like safety Mario Easterly, lineman Chris Forbes, corner Brandon Crutchfield, and safety Lucas Struck, but through the first five games it looked nothing like last year's version, allowing 44 points to Virginia Tech, 46 to James Madison, and 42 to Georgia State. Then came the breakthrough: a 10-3 win at App State in which the Monarchs held the Mountaineers to 158 total yards and forced three turnovers, with Crutchfield sealing it on an interception. That performance is the blueprint. If Old Dominion can sustain that level of pressure and takeaway production, the defense can still be the team's floor.
Kicker Nathanial Eichner took over in November 2025 and finished 7-for-10 on field goals and perfect on extra points, and he has held the job despite competition from FAU transfer Andrew Nelms. Punter Ian Brandt returns but averaged just under 41 yards last season, which was on the low end in the Sun Belt. The return game is a strength: Devin Roche led the conference in punt return average in 2025 and has added kickoff return duties. In a season where the offense has sputtered, flipping field position and stealing points on special teams becomes even more critical.
Head coach Ricky Rahne, now in his sixth year with a 30-33 record, guided the Monarchs to a historic 2025 campaign but faces a rebuild after heavy portal losses. Offensive coordinator Kody Cook and defensive coordinator Blake Seiler have had to integrate new starters at nearly every position group. The staff's ability to scheme around a leaky offensive line and a passing game that has yet to click will determine whether Old Dominion can string together wins. The short week against Georgia Southern (five days after a physical App State game) tested depth and preparation, and the upcoming stretch will demand more creativity and discipline.
The Monarchs are 2-5 and 1-6 against the spread, but the win at App State showed what this team can be when the defense dominates and the run game controls tempo. The remaining schedule offers opportunities, but the offense must prove it can move the ball against defenses that stack the box. Quinn Henicle's health and workload are critical; he carried 26 times against the Mountaineers and has been sacked 23 times in five games. If the line can improve even marginally and the passing game finds a reliable target, Old Dominion has a path to a second consecutive bowl game. If not, the defense will have to carry an even heavier load.
Old Dominion Monarchs is 1-7 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 12% of games.
Old Dominion Monarchs holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -12.6, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Old Dominion Monarchs's home field advantage rating is 2.3 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Old Dominion Monarchs's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -120 over and -110 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Old Dominion Monarchs travels 5,332 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 99th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Old Dominion Monarchs: 2-6 overall, 1-7 ATS, power rating -12.6 (2026 records).