Old Dominion Monarchs

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Old Dominion Monarchs is 1-0 on the season, 0-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +0.1. Old Dominion Monarchs enters the season with a power rating of +0.1, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Old Dominion Monarchs head to Virginia Tech next in Week 2. In 2025, Old Dominion Monarchs went 10-3 overall, 8-5 against the spread, and 5-8 on totals.

Conference: Sun Belt Conference
Stadium: Ballard Stadium, Norfolk, VA
Power Rating (most current): +0.1
HFA Rating:2.3 pts
2026 Win Total:7.5
2026 Record: 1-0
2026 ATS: 0-1
2026 O/U: 0-1

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 1 of 2026 the Old Dominion Monarchs Power Rating of +0.1 is 0.1 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Old Dominion Monarchs have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 5,332 miles, ranking 99th heaviest in the FBS.

Old Dominion Monarchs Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachRicky Rahne
Tenure5 seasons
Record30-33
Offensive coordinatorKody Cook
Defensive coordinatorBlake Seiler

Offense

Quinn Henicle QB, Jaxon Potter QB, Devin Roche RB, JJ Harrell WR, Zion Agnew WR

Defense

Mario Easterly S, Chris Forbes DL, Montrell Chapman LB, Brandon Crutchfield CB, Lucas Struck S

Special teams

Nathanial Eichner K, Andrew Nelms K, Ian Brandt P

2025 Season in Review

Record10-3 ATS8-5 O/U5-8
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 10-11-00-1
Week 21-12-01-1
Week 32-13-02-1
Week 53-13-12-2
Week 64-14-13-2
Week 74-24-24-2
Week 84-34-35-2
Week 95-34-45-3
Week 106-35-45-4
Week 127-36-45-5
Week 138-37-45-6
Week 149-37-55-7
Postseason10-38-55-8

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2025 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened -0.1 in the preseason and finished +6.3 after the postseason, a move of +6.4 points. High +6.3 (the postseason), low -0.1 (the preseason).

Line chart of the 2025 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 18 points, from -0.1 to +6.3.

PrePost

Old Dominion Monarchs SP+ Profile

Offence+20.2109 of 138higher is better
Defence+25.364 of 138lower is better
Special teams-0.7133 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±5.0 pts
HFA measured+1.7 pts
HFA applied+2.3 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.6 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Norfolk State11-00-1
Virginia Tech73-44-3
East Carolina40-41-3
James Madison40-41-3
Georgia State43-11-3
App State52-32-3
Georgia Southern43-13-1
Louisiana Tech11-01-0
Marshall91-84-5
Coastal Carolina42-22-2
Southern Miss22-02-0

No meeting on record since 2016: UConn.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home31-2323-30-1 ATS · 54 games
On the road17-3732-22 ATS · 54 games
Neutral site2-21-2-1 ATS · 4 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

5,332 miles - ranked 99th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 5,332 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 05,332 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Norfolk StateHome0 mi
Week 2Virginia Tech228 mi457 mi
Week 3East CarolinaHome457 mi
Week 4James MadisonHome457 mi
Week 5Georgia State506 mi1,468 mi
Week 6App State303 mi2,074 mi
Week 7Georgia SouthernHome2,074 mi
Week 8Louisiana Tech976 mi4,027 mi
Week 9MarshallHome4,027 mi
Week 10Coastal Carolina263 mi4,552 mi
Week 11-Bye
Week 12UConn390 mi5,332 mi
Week 13Southern MissHome5,332 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Old Dominion Monarchs Season Outlook

New Era Under Center

The Monarchs enter 2026 without Colton Joseph, the Sun Belt Offensive Player of the Year who transferred to Wisconsin. Quinn Henicle, who started the Cure Bowl win over South Florida and rushed for over 100 yards in that game, is the presumed starter. Washington State transfer Jaxon Potter provides experienced competition, but Henicle's familiarity with the system gives him the edge. The offense will rely on his dual-threat ability to replace Joseph's production.

Defense Remains the Anchor

Old Dominion's defense was dominant in 2025, holding eight opponents to 10 points or fewer and allowing just 57 points during a six-game winning streak. Key pieces return at every level, including All-Sun Belt safety Mario Easterly, the team's top tackler, and defensive lineman Chris Forbes. The secondary is bolstered by cornerback Brandon Crutchfield and safety Lucas Struck, both of whom impressed opposing coaches on film. The biggest question is at linebacker, where Mississippi State transfer Montrell Chapman steps in to fill the void left by departures.

Rebuilt Offensive Line and Receiver Room

The offensive line will feature five new starters, a significant challenge for a team that relied on a strong running game. Head coach Ricky Rahne's offenses have consistently run the ball at an above-average rate, and that trend should continue with Devin Roche, who also led the Sun Belt in punt return average last season. The receiver corps is being reshaped with junior college transfer JJ Harrell and Division II transfer Zion Agnew, following Rahne's successful track record of finding hidden gems at the position.

Special Teams Stability and Competition

Nathanial Eichner took over kicking duties in November and converted 7 of 10 field goals and all 19 extra points. He will face competition from FAU transfer Andrew Nelms. Punter Ian Brandt returns after averaging just under 41 yards per punt, which was near the bottom of the Sun Belt. Devin Roche is expanding his role to include kickoff returns, adding another dimension to a special teams unit that could be a difference-maker in close games.

High Floor, Uncertain Ceiling

The defense gives Old Dominion a high floor, and Henicle's mobility could make the offense serviceable even with the losses. The schedule opens with a home game against Norfolk State, a heavy underdog, which should allow the team to build confidence. However, the combination of a rebuilt offensive line, new receivers, and a first-year starter at quarterback means the Monarchs may struggle to replicate their historic 2025 campaign. A bowl game is a realistic goal, but matching last season's success will require the new pieces to gel quickly.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Old Dominion Monarchs's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Old Dominion Monarchs is 0-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 0% of games.

What is Old Dominion Monarchs's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Old Dominion Monarchs holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +0.1, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Old Dominion Monarchs's home field advantage rating?

Old Dominion Monarchs's home field advantage rating is 2.3 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Old Dominion Monarchs's 2026 win total?

Old Dominion Monarchs's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -120 over and -110 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Old Dominion Monarchs travel in 2026?

Old Dominion Monarchs travels 5,332 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 99th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Old Dominion Monarchs: 1-0 overall, 0-1 ATS, power rating +0.1 (2026 records).