James Madison Dukes

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James Madison Dukes is 1-0 on the season, 1-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +2.8. James Madison Dukes enters the season with a power rating of +2.8, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The James Madison Dukes host Wagner next in Week 2. In 2025, James Madison Dukes went 12-2 overall, 9-5 against the spread, and 7-7 on totals.

Conference: Sun Belt Conference
Stadium: Bridgeforth Stadium, Harrisonburg, VA
Power Rating (most current): +2.8
HFA Rating:2.7 pts
2026 Win Total:8.5
2026 Record: 1-0
2026 ATS: 1-0
2026 O/U: 0-1

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 1 of 2026 the James Madison Dukes Power Rating of +2.8 is 2.8 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. James Madison Dukes have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 8,371 miles, ranking 50th heaviest in the FBS.

James Madison Dukes Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachBilly Napier
TenureFirst season
Career record62-35 (7+ seasons)
Offensive coordinatorCam Aiken
Defensive coordinatorsRobert Bala, Josh Linam

Offense

Arrington Maiden QB, Davi Belfort QB, Camden Coleman QB, JC Evans QB, Braeden Wisloski WR

Defense

Gannon Weathersby LB, KJ Flowe S, Amar Thomas DL, Chukwunedu Okeke DL, Kevin Roberts DL, Jakolbi Wilson DL, Mason Purham DL, DJ Kelly CB

Special teams

Morgan Suarez K, Patrick Rea P

2025 Season in Review

Record12-2 ATS9-5 O/U7-7
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-01-01-0
Week 21-12-01-1
Week 42-13-01-2
Week 53-14-01-3
Week 64-14-11-4
Week 75-14-21-5
Week 86-15-22-5
Week 107-16-23-5
Week 118-16-34-5
Week 129-17-35-5
Week 1310-17-45-6
Week 1411-18-46-6
Week 1512-18-56-7
Postseason12-29-57-7

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +4.6 in the preseason and finished +2.8 after week 2, a move of -1.8 points. High +4.6 (the preseason), low +2.8 (week 2).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 4 points, from +4.6 to +2.8.

PreW2

James Madison Dukes SP+ Profile

Offence+25.076 of 138higher is better
Defence+26.776 of 138lower is better
Special teams-0.4106 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±5.7 pts
HFA measured+3.5 pts
HFA applied+2.7 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.8 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Liberty11-01-0
Old Dominion44-03-1
Marshall42-21-3
Georgia Southern42-22-2
Georgia State44-02-2
App State42-22-2
Troy22-01-1
Southern Miss11-00-1
UConn11-01-0
Coastal Carolina44-04-0

No meeting on record since 2016: Wagner, San Diego State.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home22-314-11 ATS · 25 games
On the road17-716-8 ATS · 24 games
Neutral site1-11-1 ATS · 2 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

8,371 miles - ranked 50th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 8,371 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 08,371 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1LibertyHome0 mi
Week 2WagnerHome0 mi
Week 3San Diego State2,172 mi4,345 mi
Week 4Old Dominion177 mi4,698 mi
Week 5MarshallHome4,698 mi
Week 6Georgia Southern446 mi5,591 mi
Week 7Georgia StateHome5,591 mi
Week 8App State218 mi6,027 mi
Week 9TroyHome6,027 mi
Week 10Southern Miss769 mi7,565 mi
Week 11UConn403 mi8,371 mi
Week 12-Bye
Week 13Coastal CarolinaHome8,371 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

James Madison Dukes Season Outlook

New Era Starts with a Gritty Win

Billy Napier's first game as head coach ended in a 20-13 victory over in-state rival Liberty, a result that showcased both the promise and the rough edges of a rebuilt roster. The Dukes leaned on a defense that forced a key fourth-down stop late and an offense that managed the game efficiently. JC Evans, one of four quarterbacks competing for the starting job, delivered when it mattered, throwing for a touchdown and rushing for a critical first down in the final minutes. The win secured the Battle of the Blue Ridge trophy and gave JMU a 1-0 start, but the narrow margin against a Liberty team that was not expected to be a pushover hinted at the growing pains that may lie ahead.

Quarterback Picture Starting to Clear

The preseason featured a four-way battle under center among transfers Arrington Maiden (Memphis) and Davi Belfort (UCF), redshirt freshman Camden Coleman, and third-year man JC Evans. Evans got the start in Week 1 and made a strong case to keep the job, completing 7 of 9 passes for 61 yards and adding 69 rushing yards on nine carries. His dual-threat ability was on display in the closing moments, when he broke off a 23-yard run to seal the game. While the sample size is small, Evans's poise in a pressure situation suggests he could be the steady hand Napier needs as the offense develops. The other quarterbacks remain waiting in the wings, but Evans has taken the first step toward ownership of the role.

Defense Holds Firm Despite Rebuild

JMU entered the season with significant turnover on defense, particularly along the line, where several starters departed for UCLA and the team filled gaps with Division II transfers like Kevin Roberts, Jakolbi Wilson, and Mason Purham. Against Liberty, the unit bent but did not break, allowing 230 passing yards and a touchdown but holding the Flames to just 13 points. The defensive front, despite its inexperience, managed to pressure the quarterback and came up with the game's biggest stop on a fourth-and-2 with just over two minutes left. Linebacker Gannon Weathersby and safety KJ Flowe, both returning players expected to take on larger roles, will be key to maintaining this level of play as the season progresses.

Special Teams Provide a Steady Base

Kicker Morgan Suarez and punter Patrick Rea, both transfers who earned starting jobs last season, returned to give JMU reliability in the kicking game. Suarez, who finished last year 14-of-19 on field goals with no misses inside 40 yards, was not called on for a field goal in the opener but handled extra points cleanly. Rea, who averaged 41 yards per punt last season with 16 downed inside the 20, will be crucial in field-position battles, especially if the offense struggles to sustain drives early in the season. In a low-scoring game like the Liberty win, the punting and placekicking units can be the difference between a win and a loss.

Momentum and Questions Ahead of Wagner

JMU now hosts Wagner in Week 2, a game where the prediction market gives the Dukes a near-certain win probability. This matchup offers a chance to build confidence, refine the quarterback rotation, and give younger players valuable reps before Sun Belt play begins. However, the opener exposed areas that need improvement, particularly offensive consistency and the ability to put away an opponent earlier. The Dukes managed only 20 points against Liberty, and while the defense carried the day, Napier will want to see more explosive plays from an offense that features playmaker Braeden Wisloski, who scored four touchdowns in the final six games of last season. The Wagner game should provide a clearer picture of whether the offense can find its rhythm.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is James Madison Dukes's against-the-spread record in 2026?

James Madison Dukes is 1-0 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.

What is James Madison Dukes's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

James Madison Dukes holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +2.8, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is James Madison Dukes's home field advantage rating?

James Madison Dukes's home field advantage rating is 2.7 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is James Madison Dukes's 2026 win total?

James Madison Dukes's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 8.5 wins, priced at -150 over and +115 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does James Madison Dukes travel in 2026?

James Madison Dukes travels 8,371 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 50th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

James Madison Dukes: 1-0 overall, 1-0 ATS, power rating +2.8 (2026 records).