James Madison Dukes is 1-0 on the season, 1-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +2.8. James Madison Dukes enters the season with a power rating of +2.8, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The James Madison Dukes host Wagner next in Week 2. In 2025, James Madison Dukes went 12-2 overall, 9-5 against the spread, and 7-7 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the James Madison Dukes Power Rating of +2.8 is 2.8 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. James Madison Dukes have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 8,371 miles, ranking 50th heaviest in the FBS.
Arrington Maiden QB, Davi Belfort QB, Camden Coleman QB, JC Evans QB, Braeden Wisloski WR
Gannon Weathersby LB, KJ Flowe S, Amar Thomas DL, Chukwunedu Okeke DL, Kevin Roberts DL, Jakolbi Wilson DL, Mason Purham DL, DJ Kelly CB
Morgan Suarez K, Patrick Rea P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Week 2 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Week 4 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Week 5 | 3-1 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Week 6 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Week 7 | 5-1 | 4-2 | 1-5 |
| Week 8 | 6-1 | 5-2 | 2-5 |
| Week 10 | 7-1 | 6-2 | 3-5 |
| Week 11 | 8-1 | 6-3 | 4-5 |
| Week 12 | 9-1 | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Week 13 | 10-1 | 7-4 | 5-6 |
| Week 14 | 11-1 | 8-4 | 6-6 |
| Week 15 | 12-1 | 8-5 | 6-7 |
| Postseason | 12-2 | 9-5 | 7-7 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +4.6 in the preseason and finished +2.8 after week 2, a move of -1.8 points. High +4.6 (the preseason), low +2.8 (week 2).
PreW2
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.8 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Old Dominion | 4 | 4-0 | 3-1 |
| Marshall | 4 | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Georgia Southern | 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Georgia State | 4 | 4-0 | 2-2 |
| App State | 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Troy | 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Southern Miss | 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| UConn | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Coastal Carolina | 4 | 4-0 | 4-0 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Wagner, San Diego State.
Week 08,371 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Liberty | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Wagner | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 3 | San Diego State | 2,172 mi | 4,345 mi |
| Week 4 | Old Dominion | 177 mi | 4,698 mi |
| Week 5 | Marshall | Home | 4,698 mi |
| Week 6 | Georgia Southern | 446 mi | 5,591 mi |
| Week 7 | Georgia State | Home | 5,591 mi |
| Week 8 | App State | 218 mi | 6,027 mi |
| Week 9 | Troy | Home | 6,027 mi |
| Week 10 | Southern Miss | 769 mi | 7,565 mi |
| Week 11 | UConn | 403 mi | 8,371 mi |
| Week 12 | - | Bye | |
| Week 13 | Coastal Carolina | Home | 8,371 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Billy Napier's first game as head coach ended in a 20-13 victory over in-state rival Liberty, a result that showcased both the promise and the rough edges of a rebuilt roster. The Dukes leaned on a defense that forced a key fourth-down stop late and an offense that managed the game efficiently. JC Evans, one of four quarterbacks competing for the starting job, delivered when it mattered, throwing for a touchdown and rushing for a critical first down in the final minutes. The win secured the Battle of the Blue Ridge trophy and gave JMU a 1-0 start, but the narrow margin against a Liberty team that was not expected to be a pushover hinted at the growing pains that may lie ahead.
The preseason featured a four-way battle under center among transfers Arrington Maiden (Memphis) and Davi Belfort (UCF), redshirt freshman Camden Coleman, and third-year man JC Evans. Evans got the start in Week 1 and made a strong case to keep the job, completing 7 of 9 passes for 61 yards and adding 69 rushing yards on nine carries. His dual-threat ability was on display in the closing moments, when he broke off a 23-yard run to seal the game. While the sample size is small, Evans's poise in a pressure situation suggests he could be the steady hand Napier needs as the offense develops. The other quarterbacks remain waiting in the wings, but Evans has taken the first step toward ownership of the role.
JMU entered the season with significant turnover on defense, particularly along the line, where several starters departed for UCLA and the team filled gaps with Division II transfers like Kevin Roberts, Jakolbi Wilson, and Mason Purham. Against Liberty, the unit bent but did not break, allowing 230 passing yards and a touchdown but holding the Flames to just 13 points. The defensive front, despite its inexperience, managed to pressure the quarterback and came up with the game's biggest stop on a fourth-and-2 with just over two minutes left. Linebacker Gannon Weathersby and safety KJ Flowe, both returning players expected to take on larger roles, will be key to maintaining this level of play as the season progresses.
Kicker Morgan Suarez and punter Patrick Rea, both transfers who earned starting jobs last season, returned to give JMU reliability in the kicking game. Suarez, who finished last year 14-of-19 on field goals with no misses inside 40 yards, was not called on for a field goal in the opener but handled extra points cleanly. Rea, who averaged 41 yards per punt last season with 16 downed inside the 20, will be crucial in field-position battles, especially if the offense struggles to sustain drives early in the season. In a low-scoring game like the Liberty win, the punting and placekicking units can be the difference between a win and a loss.
JMU now hosts Wagner in Week 2, a game where the prediction market gives the Dukes a near-certain win probability. This matchup offers a chance to build confidence, refine the quarterback rotation, and give younger players valuable reps before Sun Belt play begins. However, the opener exposed areas that need improvement, particularly offensive consistency and the ability to put away an opponent earlier. The Dukes managed only 20 points against Liberty, and while the defense carried the day, Napier will want to see more explosive plays from an offense that features playmaker Braeden Wisloski, who scored four touchdowns in the final six games of last season. The Wagner game should provide a clearer picture of whether the offense can find its rhythm.
James Madison Dukes is 1-0 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.
James Madison Dukes holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +2.8, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
James Madison Dukes's home field advantage rating is 2.7 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
James Madison Dukes's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 8.5 wins, priced at -150 over and +115 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
James Madison Dukes travels 8,371 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 50th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
James Madison Dukes: 1-0 overall, 1-0 ATS, power rating +2.8 (2026 records).