Week 3
M. M. Roberts Stadium

UConn @ Southern Miss , Week 3, Sep 19, 2026

0-0 Independent Power rating: -9.0
0-0 Sun Belt Power rating: -15.7

Is there value in the UConn vs Southern Miss line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
CONN -3.6
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors CONNfavors USM ▸
‹ 6.7 CONN
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1 CONN1 USM2 CONN2 USMModel: CONN -3.6

UConn (power rating: -9.0) carries a 6.7-point advantage over Southern Miss (-15.7) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Southern Miss's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5) narrows that gap at M. M. Roberts Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from UConn's trip and the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect UConn vs Southern Miss at M. M. Roberts Stadium?

The latest reading for M. M. Roberts Stadium shows Clear, 79°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do UConn and Southern Miss compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor UConn (-9.0) over Southern Miss (-15.7) by 6.7 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Southern Miss faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Southern Miss brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this UConn -3.6. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 22, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

79°F

Rain4%
Precip0.00"
Humidity59%
Wind4 mph SW
Gusts8 mph
Wind map for UConn at Southern Miss: aerial view of M. M. Roberts Stadium, wind from the SW at 3.6 mph, gusting to 7.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM CDT
Venue
M. M. Roberts Stadium
Capacity
36,000
Elevation
233 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure UConnAway Southern MissHome
This week1,172 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game484 miles
Season total1,172 miles484 miles
Body clock19:0018:00
Rest7 days7 days

UConn travels 1,172 miles to this game, a significant road trip. UConn arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.