Week 12
Scott Stadium

North Carolina @ Virginia , Week 12, Nov 21, 2026

0-0 ACC Power rating: -3.4
0-0 ACC Power rating: 6.7

Is there value in the North Carolina vs Virginia line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
UVA -11.8
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors UNCfavors UVA ▸
10.1 › UVA
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1 UNC1 UVA2 UNC2 UVAModel: UVA -11.8

Virginia (power rating: 6.7) holds a 10.1-point advantage over North Carolina (-3.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Virginia's home field adds 1.7 points to that advantage at Scott Stadium. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect North Carolina vs Virginia at Scott Stadium?

The latest reading for Scott Stadium shows Overcast, 70°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do North Carolina and Virginia compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Virginia (6.7) over North Carolina (-3.4) by 10.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Virginia brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Virginia -11.8. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 29, 2026 Preliminary

Overcast

70°F

Rain21%
Precip0.00"
Humidity75%
Wind3 mph NW
Gusts9 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for North Carolina at Virginia: aerial view of Scott Stadium, wind from the NW at 2.7 mph, gusting to 9.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EST
Venue
Scott Stadium
Capacity
61,500
Elevation
545 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure North CarolinaAway VirginiaHome
This week149 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total9,553 miles4,207 miles
Body clock00:0000:00
Rest7 days7 days

North Carolina travels 149 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.