DraftKings · as of October 7, 2026
NC State (power rating: 4.5) carries a 2.3-point advantage over North Carolina (2.2) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. North Carolina's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1) narrows that gap at Kenan Stadium. The market line is NC State -1.5 and our model shows North Carolina -0.1; Modest edge toward North Carolina. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Kenan Stadium shows Clear, 68°F with winds of 6 mph. Gusts reaching 24 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction market pricing is not yet available for this game. The bookmaker spread of NC State -1.5 sets the line for now. The Blue Chip model makes it North Carolina -0.1; see the line value calculator below for the full breakdown.
Clear
68°F
| Measure | NC StateAway | North CarolinaHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 20 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | 983 miles | 299 miles |
| Season total | 7,010 miles | 9,702 miles |
| Body clock | 00:00 | 00:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
NC State travels 20 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.
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