Week 11 •
Joe Aillet Stadium

Southern Miss @ Louisiana Tech , Week 11, Nov 14, 2026

1-4 Sun Belt Power rating: -18.6
3-2 Sun Belt Power rating: -4.5

Is there value in the Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
LT -17.3
Edge
No line posted
See details
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14.1 › LT
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1 USM1 LT2 USM2 LT3 USM3 LTModel: LT -17.3

Louisiana Tech (power rating: -4.5) holds a 14.1-point advantage over Southern Miss (-18.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Louisiana Tech's home field adds 3.2 points to that advantage at Joe Aillet Stadium. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech at Joe Aillet Stadium?

The latest reading for Joe Aillet Stadium shows Clear, 59°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Southern Miss and Louisiana Tech compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Louisiana Tech (-4.5) over Southern Miss (-18.6) by 14.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Louisiana Tech brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Louisiana Tech -17.3. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 18, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

59°F

Rain1%
Precip0.00"
Humidity45%
Wind3 mph NNE
Gusts3 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech: aerial view of Joe Aillet Stadium, wind from the NNE at 2.5 mph, gusting to 2.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
11:00 PM CST
Venue
Joe Aillet Stadium
Capacity
23,000
Elevation
269 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Southern MissAway Louisiana TechHome
This week212 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game792 miles
Season total1,674 miles2,325 miles
Body clock23:0023:00
Rest8 days7 days

Southern Miss travels 212 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.