South Florida (power rating: -1.3) holds a 17.4-point advantage over Kent State (-18.7) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. South Florida's home field adds 3.0 points to that advantage at Raymond James Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from South Florida's extra rest and the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Raymond James Stadium shows Clear, 77°F with winds of 13 mph. Gusts reaching 22 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price South Florida as 92% favorites to beat Kent State (8%). That implies a market-derived spread of South Florida -15.9. The Blue Chip model makes it South Florida -20.5, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Clear
77°F
| Measure | Kent StateAway | South FloridaHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 910 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | 471 miles | 1,949 miles |
| Season total | 2,608 miles | 5,887 miles |
| Body clock | 19:00 | 19:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 9 days |
Kent State travels 910 miles to this game, a significant road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.
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