Iowa State (power rating: 5.2) carries a 2.1-point advantage over Baylor (3.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Baylor's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9) narrows that gap at McLane Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges the heat. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for McLane Stadium shows Clear, 85°F, heat index 88°F with winds of 16 mph. Wind of 16 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 27 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Clear
85°F
| Measure | Iowa StateAway | BaylorHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 746 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 1,948 miles |
| Season total | 5,192 miles | 6,251 miles |
| Body clock | 23:00 | 23:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 8 days |
Iowa State travels 746 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.
