Week 10 •
McLane Stadium

Iowa State @ Baylor , Week 10, Nov 7, 2026

3-2 Big 12 Power rating: 6.1
4-1 Big 12 Power rating: 10.9

Is there value in the Iowa State vs Baylor line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
BAY -7.0
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors ISUfavors BAY ▸
4.8 › BAY
Adjust the power ratings by team
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
BAY
no impact
no impact
no impact
BAY
1 ISU1 BAY2 ISU2 BAYModel: BAY -7.0

Baylor (power rating: 10.9) holds a 4.8-point advantage over Iowa State (6.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Baylor's home field adds 1.9 points to that advantage at McLane Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Iowa State vs Baylor at McLane Stadium?

The latest reading for McLane Stadium shows Clear, 80°F, heat index 84°F with winds of 14 mph. Gusts reaching 29 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Iowa State and Baylor compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Baylor (10.9) over Iowa State (6.1) by 4.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Baylor brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Baylor -7.0. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

80°F

Rain10%
Precip0.00"
Humidity71%
Wind14 mph SSE
Gusts29 mph
Heat index84°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Iowa State at Baylor: aerial view of McLane Stadium, wind from the SSE at 13.6 mph, gusting to 28.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
11:00 PM CST
Venue
McLane Stadium
Capacity
45,140
Elevation
404 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Iowa StateAway BaylorHome
This week746 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,948 miles
Season total5,192 miles6,251 miles
Body clock23:0023:00
Rest7 days8 days

Iowa State travels 746 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.