Week 12 •
Mackay Stadium

Hawai'i @ Nevada , Week 12, Nov 21, 2026

1-4 MW Power rating: -16.1
1-3 MW Power rating: -12.8

Is there value in the Hawai'i vs Nevada line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
NEV -7.0
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors HAWfavors NEV ▸
3.3 › NEV
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1 HAW1 NEV2 HAW2 NEVModel: NEV -7.0

Nevada (power rating: -12.8) holds a 3.3-point advantage over Hawai'i (-16.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Nevada's home field adds 2.1 points to that advantage at Mackay Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges Hawai'i's long trip and the altitude at Mackay Stadium. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Hawai'i vs Nevada at Mackay Stadium?

The latest reading for Mackay Stadium shows Clear, 53°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Hawai'i and Nevada compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Nevada (-12.8) over Hawai'i (-16.1) by 3.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Nevada brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Nevada -7.0. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

53°F

Rain4%
Precip0.00"
Humidity62%
Wind6 mph W
Gusts6 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Hawai'i at Nevada: aerial view of Mackay Stadium, wind from the W at 5.8 mph, gusting to 6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
09:00 PM PST
Venue
Mackay Stadium
Capacity
30,000
Elevation
4,619 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure Hawai'iAway NevadaHome
This week2,567 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game3,257 miles
Season total34,698 miles12,064 miles
Body clock19:0021:00
Rest6 days7 days

Hawai'i travels 2,567 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. A trip of this length is worth roughly two thirds of a point to the home team on the measured evidence.