Week 4
Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium

Mercyhurst @ Western Kentucky , Week 4, Sep 26, 2026

0-0 NEC Power rating: 1.0
0-0 CUSA Power rating: -5.5

Is there value in the Mercyhurst vs Western Kentucky line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
MercyH -3.9
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors MercyHfavors WKU ▸
‹ 6.5 MercyH
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1 MercyH1 WKU2 MercyH2 WKU3 MercyH3 WKUModel: MercyH -3.9

Mercyhurst (power rating: 1.0) carries a 6.5-point advantage over Western Kentucky (-5.5) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Western Kentucky's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6) narrows that gap at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Mercyhurst vs Western Kentucky at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium?

The latest reading for Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium shows Overcast, 76°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Mercyhurst and Western Kentucky compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Mercyhurst (1.0) over Western Kentucky (-5.5) by 6.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Western Kentucky faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Western Kentucky brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Mercyhurst -3.9. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Overcast

76°F

Rain40%
Precip0.01"
Humidity85%
Wind7 mph SSE
Gusts16 mph
Wind map for Mercyhurst at Western Kentucky: aerial view of Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium, wind from the SSE at 6.9 mph, gusting to 15.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 4
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM CDT
Venue
Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Capacity
19,250
Elevation
495 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure MercyhurstAway Western KentuckyHome
This week491 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week303 miles
Season total6,737 miles4,472 miles
Body clock19:0018:00
Rest7 days7 days

Mercyhurst travels 491 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. Mercyhurst arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.