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Week 12 •
FAU Stadium

South Florida @ Florida Atlantic

0-0 American Power rating: 2.3
0-0 American Power rating: -9.9

By · Last updated

Is there value in the South Florida vs Florida Atlantic line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
USF -9.6
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors USFfavors FAU ▸
‹ 12.2 USF
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
FAU
no impact
no impact
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FAU
1 USF1 FAU2 USF2 FAUModel: USF -9.6

South Florida (power rating: 2.3) carries a 12.2-point advantage over Florida Atlantic (-9.9) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Florida Atlantic's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3) narrows that gap at FAU Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect South Florida vs Florida Atlantic at FAU Stadium?

The latest reading for FAU Stadium shows Clear, 85°F, heat index 92°F with winds of 11 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do South Florida and Florida Atlantic compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor South Florida (2.3) over Florida Atlantic (-9.9) by 12.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Florida Atlantic faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Florida Atlantic brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on South Florida and Florida Atlantic?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this South Florida -9.6. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 22, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

85°F

Rain6%
Precip0.00"
Humidity69%
Wind11 mph ESE
Gusts14 mph
Heat index92°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for South Florida at Florida Atlantic: aerial view of FAU Stadium, wind from the ESE at 10.5 mph, gusting to 14 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EST
Venue
FAU Stadium
Capacity
30,000
Elevation
16 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

South FloridaAway Florida AtlanticHome
This week184 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game2,303 miles
Season total7,283 miles8,939 miles
Body clock00:0000:00
Rest8 days7 days

South Florida travels 184 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.